Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.362.61safe0.28–2.210.50–2.210.78–4.43safer0.03–2.470.28–2.440.30–4.91
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.827.93safe2.25–5.982.07–5.564.32–11.53safer1.76–6.461.61–6.023.37–12.49
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.959.9023.85safe10.03–17.886.33–13.4616.36–31.34safer8.94–18.975.38–14.4214.31–33.39
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.327.1616.47safe6.37–12.264.48–9.8410.85–22.10safer5.54–13.093.74–10.589.28–23.66
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.397.24safe1.97–5.731.74–5.053.71–10.78safer1.43–6.281.25–5.542.67–11.81
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.7310.14safe3.20–7.622.73–6.735.92–14.35safer2.62–8.202.19–7.264.82–15.46
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.1656.49safe36.37–49.9549.70–63.27safer34.70–51.6248.03–64.94
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction361475836safe294–428409–542702–970safer276–446391–559667–1005
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction62.2371.69safe58.20–66.2667.37–76.01safer56.91–67.5566.06–77.32
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3210.9124.24safe10.48–16.167.97–13.8618.45–30.02safer9.73–16.927.22–14.6116.95–31.52
Offsides
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.843.61safe0.61–2.930.75–2.931.35–5.86safer0.31–3.230.46–3.220.77–6.45
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.043.80safe0.71–2.800.91–3.171.62–5.97safer0.44–3.070.62–3.461.06–6.53
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.875.42safe1.12–3.991.31–4.422.43–8.41safer0.73–4.380.89–4.851.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.47 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.61 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 34% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.46 | 3.82 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.02 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.37–12.49 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.95 10.03–17.88 8.94–18.97 | 9.90 6.33–13.46 5.38–14.42 | 23.85 16.36–31.34 14.31–33.39 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.37–12.26 5.54–13.09 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 16.47 10.85–22.10 9.28–23.66 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 3.39 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.24 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.81 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 43.16 36.37–49.95 34.70–51.62 | 56.49 49.70–63.27 48.03–64.94 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 276–446 | 475 409–542 391–559 | 836 702–970 667–1005 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.23 58.20–66.26 56.91–67.55 | 71.69 67.37–76.01 66.06–77.32 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.32 10.48–16.16 9.73–16.92 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 24.24 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.80 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 2.87 1.31–4.42 0.89–4.85 | 5.42 2.43–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.