Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.533.10safe0.60–2.540.67–2.381.27–4.92safer0.35–2.790.44–2.610.79–5.40
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.259.07safe2.95–6.672.51–6.005.46–12.67safer2.46–7.162.05–6.464.50–13.63
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5911.0324.62safe9.67–17.527.47–14.5917.14–32.11safer8.58–18.616.51–15.5515.09–34.16
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.248.3417.58safe6.30–12.185.66–11.0211.96–23.20safer5.47–13.014.92–11.7610.39–24.77
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.277.05safe1.90–5.661.62–4.923.52–10.59safer1.35–6.211.13–5.422.48–11.62
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.7510.51safe3.54–7.972.75–6.756.30–14.72safer2.97–8.542.22–7.295.19–15.83
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.5551.85safe42.76–56.3445.06–58.63safer41.09–58.0143.39–60.30
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction428441869safe361–496374–507735–1003safer343–514357–525700–1038
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction70.9172.86safe66.88–74.9468.53–77.18safer65.59–76.2367.22–78.49
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4711.1621.62safe7.63–13.308.21–14.1015.84–27.41safer6.87–14.067.46–14.8514.34–28.91
Offsides
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.615.61safe0.84–3.162.52–4.713.36–7.86safer0.54–3.462.23–4.992.77–8.45
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.174.00safe0.78–2.881.04–3.301.82–6.18safer0.51–3.150.75–3.591.27–6.74
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.176.05safe1.45–4.321.61–4.733.06–9.05safer1.06–4.711.19–5.152.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 3.10 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.25 2.51–6.00 2.05–6.46 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.63 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.59 9.67–17.52 8.58–18.61 | 11.03 7.47–14.59 6.51–15.55 | 24.62 17.14–32.11 15.09–34.16 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.30–12.18 5.47–13.01 | 8.34 5.66–11.02 4.92–11.76 | 17.58 11.96–23.20 10.39–24.77 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.21 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.13–5.42 | 7.05 3.52–10.59 2.48–11.62 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.29 | 10.51 6.30–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.55 42.76–56.34 41.09–58.01 | 51.85 45.06–58.63 43.39–60.30 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 428 361–496 343–514 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.91 66.88–74.94 65.59–76.23 | 72.86 68.53–77.18 67.22–78.49 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 21.62 15.84–27.41 14.34–28.91 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 3.61 2.52–4.71 2.23–4.99 | 5.61 3.36–7.86 2.77–8.45 | 18% 14% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.15 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.17 1.61–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.