Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.460.922.38safe0.49–2.430.07–1.780.56–4.20safer0.24–2.680.00–2.000.08–4.68
Shots on target
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.107.47safe2.51–6.241.36–4.843.87–11.08safer2.02–6.730.89–5.312.91–12.04
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.519.6624.17safe10.58–18.436.09–13.2216.68–31.65safer9.49–19.535.13–14.1814.63–33.70
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.146.8516.00safe6.20–12.094.17–9.5310.37–21.62safer5.37–12.923.44–10.278.81–23.19
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.027.74safe2.85–6.611.36–4.674.21–11.28safer2.30–7.150.87–5.163.17–12.31
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.2310.43safe3.98–8.412.23–6.236.22–14.64safer3.41–8.981.70–6.775.11–15.75
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction59.3241.38safe52.53–66.1134.59–48.16safer50.86–67.7832.92–49.84
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction486311797safe419–553244–377663–930safer401–571227–395627–966
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction70.1767.09safe66.14–74.2062.77–71.42safer64.85–75.4961.46–72.73
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6012.2222.83safe7.77–13.449.28–15.1717.05–28.61safer7.01–14.208.53–15.9215.54–30.12
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.173.76safe0.43–2.751.08–3.261.50–6.01safer0.13–3.050.79–3.550.92–6.60
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.963.29safe0.28–2.380.83–3.091.11–5.47safer0.01–2.640.54–3.380.55–6.02
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.765.02safe0.82–3.691.20–4.322.02–8.01safer0.43–4.080.78–4.741.21–8.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 50% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 7.47 3.87–11.08 2.91–12.04 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.51 10.58–18.43 9.49–19.53 | 9.66 6.09–13.22 5.13–14.18 | 24.17 16.68–31.65 14.63–33.70 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.14 6.20–12.09 5.37–12.92 | 6.85 4.17–9.53 3.44–10.27 | 16.00 10.37–21.62 8.81–23.19 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.77 | 10.43 6.22–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 59.32 52.53–66.11 50.86–67.78 | 41.38 34.59–48.16 32.92–49.84 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 311 244–377 227–395 | 797 663–930 627–966 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.17 66.14–74.20 64.85–75.49 | 67.09 62.77–71.42 61.46–72.73 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 22.83 17.05–28.61 15.54–30.12 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 2.17 1.08–3.26 0.79–3.55 | 3.76 1.50–6.01 0.92–6.60 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.02 2.02–8.01 1.21–8.82 | 32% 18% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.