Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.202.42safe0.26–2.190.34–2.050.60–4.25safer0.00–2.440.12–2.280.12–4.73
Shots on target
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.017.56safe1.69–5.412.27–5.753.96–11.17safer1.20–5.901.80–6.223.00–12.12
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7112.9024.62safe7.79–15.649.34–16.4717.13–32.10safer6.70–16.738.38–17.4315.08–34.15
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.318.6815.99safe4.36–10.256.00–11.3610.37–21.61safer3.54–11.085.26–12.108.80–23.18
Blocked shots
37%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.604.017.61safe1.71–5.482.36–5.664.07–11.14safer1.17–6.021.86–6.163.03–12.18
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.769.75safe2.77–7.202.76–6.765.54–13.96safer2.20–7.772.23–7.304.43–15.07
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.1656.77safe37.37–50.9549.99–63.56safer35.70–52.6248.32–65.23
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction421517938safe353–488451–584804–1072safer335–506433–601769–1107
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction69.5278.48safe65.49–73.5574.15–82.80safer64.20–74.8472.84–84.11
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7510.3923.14safe9.91–15.597.45–13.3417.36–28.92safer9.16–16.346.70–14.0815.85–30.43
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.263.07safe0.65–2.970.16–2.350.82–5.32safer0.35–3.280.00–2.640.23–5.91
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.683.58safe0.86–2.960.55–2.801.40–5.76safer0.59–3.220.26–3.100.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.495.27safe1.35–4.220.93–4.052.28–8.26safer0.96–4.610.51–4.471.47–9.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 37% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.41 1.20–5.90 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 7.56 3.96–11.17 3.00–12.12 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.71 7.79–15.64 6.70–16.73 | 12.90 9.34–16.47 8.38–17.43 | 24.62 17.13–32.10 15.08–34.15 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.36–10.25 3.54–11.08 | 8.68 6.00–11.36 5.26–12.10 | 15.99 10.37–21.61 8.80–23.18 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 4.01 2.36–5.66 1.86–6.16 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.03–12.18 | 37% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.30 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 44.16 37.37–50.95 35.70–52.62 | 56.77 49.99–63.56 48.32–65.23 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 421 353–488 335–506 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.52 65.49–73.55 64.20–74.84 | 78.48 74.15–82.80 72.84–84.11 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.16–16.34 | 10.39 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.08 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.85–30.43 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.28 | 1.26 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.07 0.82–5.32 0.23–5.91 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.68 0.55–2.80 0.26–3.10 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 2.49 0.93–4.05 0.51–4.47 | 5.27 2.28–8.26 1.47–9.08 | 46% 18% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+