Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.152.79safe0.67–2.610.29–2.000.97–4.61safer0.42–2.860.06–2.230.49–5.09
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.838.66safe2.97–6.702.08–5.575.06–12.27safer2.48–7.191.62–6.044.10–13.22
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9411.9326.88safe11.02–18.878.37–15.5019.39–34.37safer9.93–19.967.41–16.4617.34–36.42
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.567.3517.91safe7.61–13.504.67–10.0312.28–23.53safer6.78–14.333.93–10.7710.72–25.10
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.157.28safe2.25–6.011.50–4.813.75–10.82safer1.71–6.561.01–5.302.71–11.85
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.794.3810.17safe3.58–8.002.38–6.385.96–14.39safer3.00–8.581.85–6.914.85–15.49
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.8249.38safe44.03–57.6142.59–56.16safer42.36–59.2840.92–57.83
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction433408841safe365–500342–475707–975safer347–518324–492672–1010
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction70.0571.66safe66.02–74.0867.34–75.99safer64.73–75.3766.03–77.30
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1011.7322.83safe8.26–13.948.79–14.6817.05–28.62safer7.51–14.698.04–15.4315.55–30.12
Offsides
51%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.573.70safe0.97–3.290.48–2.661.44–5.95safer0.67–3.590.19–2.950.85–6.54
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.284.06safe0.74–2.831.15–3.401.88–6.24safer0.47–3.100.86–3.701.32–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.315.98safe1.23–4.101.76–4.872.98–8.97safer0.84–4.491.33–5.292.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 3.83 2.08–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.94 11.02–18.87 9.93–19.96 | 11.93 8.37–15.50 7.41–16.46 | 26.88 19.39–34.37 17.34–36.42 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.56 7.61–13.50 6.78–14.33 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 17.91 12.28–23.53 10.72–25.10 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.71–6.56 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.85–6.91 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 50.82 44.03–57.61 42.36–59.28 | 49.38 42.59–56.16 40.92–57.83 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 433 365–500 347–518 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.05 66.02–74.08 64.73–75.37 | 71.66 67.34–75.99 66.03–77.30 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 22.83 17.05–28.62 15.55–30.12 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 51% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.28 1.15–3.40 0.86–3.70 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.80 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 5.98 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.