Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.912.98safe1.11–3.040.05–1.761.16–4.81safer0.86–3.290.00–1.990.68–5.29
Shots on target
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.008.59safe3.73–7.461.25–4.744.98–12.19safer3.24–7.950.79–5.204.03–13.15
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.068.7224.78safe12.14–19.995.15–12.2817.29–32.27safer11.04–21.084.20–13.2415.24–34.32
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.626.0516.67safe7.68–13.563.37–8.7311.05–22.29safer6.85–14.392.63–9.479.48–23.86
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.672.337.00safe2.79–6.560.67–3.983.46–10.54safer2.25–7.100.18–4.472.43–11.57
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.803.6410.44safe4.59–9.011.64–5.646.22–14.65safer4.01–9.591.10–6.175.12–15.76
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.4942.72safe49.70–63.2835.94–49.51safer48.03–64.9534.26–51.18
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction483348831safe415–550282–414697–964safer397–568264–432661–1000
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction71.1168.88safe67.08–75.1464.56–73.21safer65.79–76.4363.25–74.52
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2913.3125.60safe9.45–15.1310.37–16.2619.82–31.38safer8.70–15.889.62–17.0118.31–32.89
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.504.54safe0.88–3.201.41–3.602.29–6.80safer0.58–3.501.12–3.881.70–7.39
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.844.53safe0.64–2.741.72–3.972.36–6.71safer0.37–3.001.42–4.261.80–7.27
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.195.18safe0.55–3.431.63–4.742.19–8.17safer0.17–3.811.21–5.171.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.11–3.04 0.86–3.29 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.73–7.46 3.24–7.95 | 3.00 1.25–4.74 0.79–5.20 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 76% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.06 12.14–19.99 11.04–21.08 | 8.72 5.15–12.28 4.20–13.24 | 24.78 17.29–32.27 15.24–34.32 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 10.62 7.68–13.56 6.85–14.39 | 6.05 3.37–8.73 2.63–9.47 | 16.67 11.05–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.56 2.25–7.10 | 2.33 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 7.00 3.46–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.80 4.59–9.01 4.01–9.59 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.10–6.17 | 10.44 6.22–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 80% |
| Possession % | 56.49 49.70–63.28 48.03–64.95 | 42.72 35.94–49.51 34.26–51.18 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 483 415–550 397–568 | 348 282–414 264–432 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.11 67.08–75.14 65.79–76.43 | 68.88 64.56–73.21 63.25–74.52 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.45–15.13 8.70–15.88 | 13.31 10.37–16.26 9.62–17.01 | 25.60 19.82–31.38 18.31–32.89 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 2.50 1.41–3.60 1.12–3.88 | 4.54 2.29–6.80 1.70–7.39 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.84 1.72–3.97 1.42–4.26 | 4.53 2.36–6.71 1.80–7.27 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.55–3.43 0.17–3.81 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 5.18 2.19–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 22% 16% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.