Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.452.78safe0.36–2.300.60–2.310.96–4.60safer0.11–2.550.37–2.540.48–5.08
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.344.859.19safe2.48–6.203.11–6.605.59–12.80safer1.99–6.692.65–7.064.63–13.75
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.0326.43safe9.47–17.329.47–16.6018.94–33.92safer8.38–18.418.51–17.5616.89–35.97
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.508.8218.32safe6.56–12.446.14–11.5012.70–23.94safer5.73–13.275.40–12.2411.13–25.51
Blocked shots
48%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.587.51safe2.05–5.821.92–5.233.97–11.04safer1.51–6.361.43–5.722.94–12.08
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.699.65safe2.75–7.182.69–6.695.44–13.87safer2.17–7.752.16–7.224.33–14.97
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.4654.57safe38.67–52.2547.78–61.35safer37.00–53.9246.11–63.02
Passes
27%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction435507942safe368–503441–573809–1076safer350–521423–591773–1112
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction67.7174.64safe63.68–71.7470.32–78.96safer62.38–73.0369.01–80.27
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6810.2820.96safe7.84–13.517.34–13.2315.18–26.74safer7.08–14.276.59–13.9813.67–28.25
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.813.43safe0.46–2.780.72–2.911.18–5.68safer0.16–3.080.43–3.190.59–6.27
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.643.01safe0.32–2.420.52–2.770.84–5.19safer0.05–2.680.22–3.070.28–5.75
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.945.85safe1.47–4.341.38–4.502.86–8.84safer1.09–4.730.96–4.922.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 4.85 3.11–6.60 2.65–7.06 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.75 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 13.03 9.47–16.60 8.51–17.56 | 26.43 18.94–33.92 16.89–35.97 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.56–12.44 5.73–13.27 | 8.82 6.14–11.50 5.40–12.24 | 18.32 12.70–23.94 11.13–25.51 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.58 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 48% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.75–7.18 2.17–7.75 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.16–7.22 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.97 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 45.46 38.67–52.25 37.00–53.92 | 54.57 47.78–61.35 46.11–63.02 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 435 368–503 350–521 | 507 441–573 423–591 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 27% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.71 63.68–71.74 62.38–73.03 | 74.64 70.32–78.96 69.01–80.27 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.84–13.51 7.08–14.27 | 10.28 7.34–13.23 6.59–13.98 | 20.96 15.18–26.74 13.67–28.25 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.19 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.64 0.52–2.77 0.22–3.07 | 3.01 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.09–4.73 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.