Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.513.16safe0.69–2.620.65–2.361.34–4.98safer0.43–2.870.42–2.590.86–5.46
Shots on target
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.315.0510.37safe3.45–7.183.31–6.806.76–13.97safer2.96–7.672.84–7.265.81–14.93
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2513.2728.52safe11.32–19.179.71–16.8421.03–36.01safer10.23–20.268.75–17.8018.98–38.06
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.049.0319.07safe7.10–12.986.35–11.7113.45–24.69safer6.27–13.815.61–12.4511.88–26.26
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.978.01safe2.16–5.922.32–5.624.47–11.54safer1.61–6.461.82–6.123.44–12.58
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.8710.13safe3.05–7.482.87–6.875.92–14.35safer2.48–8.052.34–7.404.81–15.46
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.6452.15safe42.85–56.4345.37–58.94safer41.18–58.1043.70–60.61
Passes
40%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction435464898safe367–502397–530764–1032safer349–520380–548729–1067
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction68.9575.42safe64.92–72.9871.09–79.74safer63.63–74.2769.78–81.05
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0811.2224.30safe10.24–15.928.27–14.1618.52–30.08safer9.49–16.677.53–14.9117.01–31.59
Offsides
50%
18%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.104.72safe1.46–3.781.01–3.192.47–6.98safer1.16–4.080.72–3.481.88–7.57
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.984.07safe1.04–3.130.85–3.111.89–6.25safer0.77–3.400.56–3.401.33–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.366.66safe1.86–4.731.81–4.923.66–9.65safer1.47–5.121.38–5.342.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.69–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.18 2.96–7.67 | 5.05 3.31–6.80 2.84–7.26 | 10.37 6.76–13.97 5.81–14.93 | 47% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.25 11.32–19.17 10.23–20.26 | 13.27 9.71–16.84 8.75–17.80 | 28.52 21.03–36.01 18.98–38.06 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.04 7.10–12.98 6.27–13.81 | 9.03 6.35–11.71 5.61–12.45 | 19.07 13.45–24.69 11.88–26.26 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 3.97 2.32–5.62 1.82–6.12 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.34–7.40 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.46 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.64 42.85–56.43 41.18–58.10 | 52.15 45.37–58.94 43.70–60.61 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 435 367–502 349–520 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 40% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.95 64.92–72.98 63.63–74.27 | 75.42 71.09–79.74 69.78–81.05 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.08 10.24–15.92 9.49–16.67 | 11.22 8.27–14.16 7.53–14.91 | 24.30 18.52–30.08 17.01–31.59 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.16–4.08 | 2.10 1.01–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 4.72 2.47–6.98 1.88–7.57 | 50% 18% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 3.36 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.