Championship·Regular Season - 33·
Championship·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.152.70safe0.58–2.520.30–2.010.88–4.53safer0.33–2.770.07–2.240.40–5.00
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.968.59safe2.77–6.502.22–5.704.99–12.20safer2.28–6.991.75–6.174.03–13.15
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4412.2125.65safe9.51–17.368.65–15.7718.16–33.14safer8.42–18.457.69–16.7316.11–35.19
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.898.2317.12safe5.95–11.835.55–10.9111.49–22.74safer5.12–12.664.81–11.659.93–24.31
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.407.10safe1.81–5.581.75–5.063.56–10.63safer1.27–6.121.26–5.552.53–11.67
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.6510.20safe3.33–7.762.65–6.655.99–14.41safer2.76–8.342.12–7.184.88–15.52
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.7646.59safe46.97–60.5539.81–53.38safer45.30–62.2238.13–55.05
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction480400880safe413–547334–467747–1014safer395–565316–484711–1050
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction73.8272.55safe69.79–77.8568.23–76.88safer68.50–79.1566.92–78.19
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8712.6923.56safe8.03–13.709.75–15.6417.78–29.34safer7.27–14.469.00–16.3916.27–30.85
Offsides
60%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.473.98safe1.35–3.670.38–2.561.73–6.23safer1.05–3.970.09–2.851.14–6.82
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.093.91safe0.77–2.860.96–3.221.73–6.09safer0.50–3.130.67–3.511.17–6.64
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.075.66safe1.15–4.021.52–4.632.67–8.65safer0.76–4.411.09–5.051.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.00 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.44 9.51–17.36 8.42–18.45 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 25.65 18.16–33.14 16.11–35.19 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.65 | 17.12 11.49–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.40 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.34 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.18 | 10.20 5.99–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.76 46.97–60.55 45.30–62.22 | 46.59 39.81–53.38 38.13–55.05 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–565 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.82 69.79–77.85 68.50–79.15 | 72.55 68.23–76.88 66.92–78.19 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 23.56 17.78–29.34 16.27–30.85 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 60% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.64 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+