Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.003.14safe0.17–2.101.15–2.861.31–4.96safer0.00–2.350.92–3.090.83–5.44
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.755.419.16safe1.89–5.623.66–7.155.56–12.77safer1.40–6.113.20–7.614.60–13.72
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3114.8926.21safe7.39–15.2411.33–18.4618.72–33.69safer6.30–16.3310.37–19.4116.67–35.74
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3810.6518.03safe4.43–10.327.97–13.3412.41–23.65safer3.60–11.157.24–14.0710.84–25.22
Blocked shots
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.696.32safe0.75–4.512.03–5.342.78–9.86safer0.21–5.061.54–5.831.75–10.89
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.636.1410.77safe2.42–6.844.14–8.146.56–14.98safer1.84–7.423.61–8.675.45–16.09
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.4455.83safe37.65–51.2349.04–62.61safer35.98–52.9047.37–64.28
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction363453815safe295–430386–519682–949safer277–448369–537646–985
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction61.7473.35safe57.71–65.7769.02–77.67safer56.42–67.0667.71–78.98
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.429.9722.39safe9.58–15.257.03–12.9216.61–28.17safer8.82–16.016.28–13.6615.10–29.67
Offsides
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.217.50safe2.13–4.453.11–5.305.24–9.75safer1.83–4.752.82–5.594.66–10.34
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.623.44safe0.77–2.870.49–2.741.26–5.62safer0.51–3.140.20–3.040.70–6.17
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.696.05safe1.93–4.801.13–4.243.06–9.04safer1.54–5.190.71–4.672.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 21% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.11 | 5.41 3.66–7.15 3.20–7.61 | 9.16 5.56–12.77 4.60–13.72 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.31 7.39–15.24 6.30–16.33 | 14.89 11.33–18.46 10.37–19.41 | 26.21 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.74 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.38 4.43–10.32 3.60–11.15 | 10.65 7.97–13.34 7.24–14.07 | 18.03 12.41–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 2.63 0.75–4.51 0.21–5.06 | 3.69 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 6.32 2.78–9.86 1.75–10.89 | 27% 15% 59% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.42–6.84 1.84–7.42 | 6.14 4.14–8.14 3.61–8.67 | 10.77 6.56–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 44.44 37.65–51.23 35.98–52.90 | 55.83 49.04–62.61 47.37–64.28 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 815 682–949 646–985 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.74 57.71–65.77 56.42–67.06 | 73.35 69.02–77.67 67.71–78.98 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 9.97 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.66 | 22.39 16.61–28.17 15.10–29.67 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 3.29 2.13–4.45 1.83–4.75 | 4.21 3.11–5.30 2.82–5.59 | 7.50 5.24–9.75 4.66–10.34 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.62 0.49–2.74 0.20–3.04 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.17 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.