Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.432.58safe0.18–2.110.58–2.290.75–4.40safer0.00–2.360.35–2.510.27–4.88
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.678.39safe1.86–5.582.93–6.424.79–12.00safer1.37–6.072.47–6.883.83–12.95
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3013.0725.37safe8.38–16.239.50–16.6317.88–32.86safer7.29–17.328.54–17.5915.83–34.91
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.278.1816.45safe5.33–11.215.50–10.8610.83–22.07safer4.50–12.044.76–11.609.26–23.64
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.164.307.45safe1.27–5.042.65–5.953.92–10.99safer0.73–5.582.15–6.442.88–12.03
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.825.4510.27safe2.61–7.043.45–7.456.06–14.49safer2.04–7.612.92–7.984.95–15.60
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.7761.00safe31.98–45.5654.22–67.79safer30.31–47.2352.55–69.46
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction338528866safe271–406461–594732–1000safer253–424444–612697–1035
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.6675.77safe58.63–66.6971.44–80.09safer57.33–67.9870.13–81.40
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4611.9125.37safe10.62–16.308.97–14.8619.59–31.16safer9.87–17.058.22–15.6118.09–32.66
Offsides
65%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.911.574.48safe1.75–4.070.48–2.662.22–6.73safer1.44–4.370.19–2.951.63–7.32
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.903.85safe0.90–3.000.77–3.031.67–6.03safer0.63–3.260.48–3.321.11–6.58
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.535.37safe1.40–4.280.98–4.092.38–8.37safer1.02–4.660.55–4.511.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 4.67 2.93–6.42 2.47–6.88 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.30 8.38–16.23 7.29–17.32 | 13.07 9.50–16.63 8.54–17.59 | 25.37 17.88–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.33–11.21 4.50–12.04 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.60 | 16.45 10.83–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.27–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.03 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.92–7.98 | 10.27 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.60 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 38.77 31.98–45.56 30.31–47.23 | 61.00 54.22–67.79 52.55–69.46 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 338 271–406 253–424 | 528 461–594 444–612 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.66 58.63–66.69 57.33–67.98 | 75.77 71.44–80.09 70.13–81.40 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.30 9.87–17.05 | 11.91 8.97–14.86 8.22–15.61 | 25.37 19.59–31.16 18.09–32.66 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.91 1.75–4.07 1.44–4.37 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 4.48 2.22–6.73 1.63–7.32 | 65% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.26 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.28 1.02–4.66 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.37 2.38–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 46% 18% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+