Championship·Regular Season - 33·
Championship·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.840.982.82safe0.88–2.810.12–1.831.00–4.64safer0.62–3.060.00–2.060.52–5.12
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.549.06safe3.66–7.381.80–5.295.46–12.67safer3.17–7.871.33–5.754.50–13.62
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2810.7826.07safe11.36–19.217.22–14.3518.58–33.55safer10.27–20.306.26–15.3016.53–35.61
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.407.5318.92safe8.45–14.344.85–10.2113.30–24.55safer7.63–15.174.11–10.9411.73–26.11
Blocked shots
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.588.65safe3.19–6.951.93–5.235.12–12.19safer2.65–7.501.43–5.724.08–13.22
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.534.2710.80safe4.32–8.742.27–6.276.59–15.02safer3.74–9.321.74–6.815.48–16.12
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.6938.39safe53.90–67.4831.61–45.18safer52.23–69.1529.94–46.85
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction538318856safe470–605252–385722–990safer452–623234–402687–1025
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction73.9667.77safe69.93–77.9963.45–72.09safer68.64–79.2962.14–73.40
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4412.2222.66safe7.60–13.289.27–15.1616.87–28.44safer6.84–14.038.52–15.9115.37–29.94
Offsides
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.874.32safe1.29–3.610.77–2.962.06–6.57safer0.99–3.910.48–3.251.47–7.16
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.153.62safe0.43–2.521.02–3.271.44–5.80safer0.16–2.790.73–3.570.89–6.36
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.345.92safe1.15–4.021.78–4.892.93–8.91safer0.76–4.411.36–5.322.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.88–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 58% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.66–7.38 3.17–7.87 | 3.54 1.80–5.29 1.33–5.75 | 9.06 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.62 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.36–19.21 10.27–20.30 | 10.78 7.22–14.35 6.26–15.30 | 26.07 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.61 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.40 8.45–14.34 7.63–15.17 | 7.53 4.85–10.21 4.11–10.94 | 18.92 13.30–24.55 11.73–26.11 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.65–7.50 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 8.65 5.12–12.19 4.08–13.22 | 63% 25% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.32–8.74 3.74–9.32 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.81 | 10.80 6.59–15.02 5.48–16.12 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 60.69 53.90–67.48 52.23–69.15 | 38.39 31.61–45.18 29.94–46.85 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 538 470–605 452–623 | 318 252–385 234–402 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.99 68.64–79.29 | 67.77 63.45–72.09 62.14–73.40 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.28 6.84–14.03 | 12.22 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.91 | 22.66 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 4.32 2.06–6.57 1.47–7.16 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.15 1.02–3.27 0.73–3.57 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.34 1.78–4.89 1.36–5.32 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+