Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.462.85safe0.42–2.360.61–2.321.03–4.67safer0.17–2.610.38–2.540.55–5.15
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.178.27safe2.24–5.972.42–5.914.66–11.87safer1.75–6.461.96–6.373.71–12.83
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3412.2127.56safe11.42–19.278.65–15.7820.07–35.04safer10.33–20.367.69–16.7318.02–37.09
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.008.0017.00safe6.05–11.945.32–10.6811.37–22.62safer5.22–12.774.58–11.429.81–24.19
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.347.67safe2.45–6.211.69–4.994.14–11.21safer1.90–6.761.20–5.493.10–12.24
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.8410.10safe3.04–7.472.84–6.845.89–14.31safer2.47–8.042.31–7.374.78–15.42
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.0454.22safe39.25–52.8347.44–61.01safer37.58–54.5045.77–62.68
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction389469858safe322–456402–535724–991safer304–474385–553688–1027
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction67.1171.96safe63.08–71.1467.64–76.29safer61.79–72.4366.33–77.59
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3510.7422.09safe8.52–14.197.79–13.6816.31–27.87safer7.76–14.957.04–14.4314.80–29.38
Offsides
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.393.74safe0.19–2.511.30–3.481.49–6.00safer0.00–2.821.01–3.770.90–6.59
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.683.40safe0.67–2.770.56–2.811.23–5.58safer0.40–3.040.26–3.100.67–6.14
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.885.47safe1.15–4.021.33–4.442.47–8.46safer0.76–4.410.90–4.871.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.54 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 4.17 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.37 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 15.34 11.42–19.27 10.33–20.36 | 12.21 8.65–15.78 7.69–16.73 | 27.56 20.07–35.04 18.02–37.09 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.05–11.94 5.22–12.77 | 8.00 5.32–10.68 4.58–11.42 | 17.00 11.37–22.62 9.81–24.19 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 3.34 1.69–4.99 1.20–5.49 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.24 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 46.04 39.25–52.83 37.58–54.50 | 54.22 47.44–61.01 45.77–62.68 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 389 322–456 304–474 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 858 724–991 688–1027 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.11 63.08–71.14 61.79–72.43 | 71.96 67.64–76.29 66.33–77.59 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 10.74 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 22.09 16.31–27.87 14.80–29.38 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.82 | 2.39 1.30–3.48 1.01–3.77 | 3.74 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.04 | 1.68 0.56–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.87 | 5.47 2.47–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 36% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+