Championship·Regular Season - 33·
Championship·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
27%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.382.49safe0.14–2.080.53–2.230.66–4.31safer0.00–2.330.30–2.460.19–4.79
Shots on target
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.437.94safe1.65–5.382.68–6.174.34–11.55safer1.16–5.872.22–6.633.38–12.50
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.9424.42safe7.55–15.409.38–16.5116.93–31.90safer6.46–16.498.42–17.4714.88–33.96
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.378.9016.27safe4.43–10.316.22–11.5810.65–21.89safer3.60–11.145.48–12.329.08–23.46
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.067.41safe1.47–5.232.41–5.713.87–10.94safer0.93–5.781.91–6.202.84–11.98
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.999.62safe2.42–6.852.99–6.995.41–13.83safer1.84–7.422.45–7.524.30–14.94
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0854.40safe39.29–52.8747.62–61.19safer37.62–54.5445.95–62.86
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction404452856safe336–471385–518722–989safer318–489368–536686–1025
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction63.4671.81safe59.43–67.4867.48–76.13safer58.13–68.7866.17–77.44
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.4823.75safe8.44–14.119.53–15.4217.97–29.54safer7.68–14.878.79–16.1716.47–31.04
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.224.08safe0.69–3.011.13–3.321.82–6.33safer0.39–3.320.84–3.601.23–6.92
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.014.14safe1.08–3.180.88–3.141.96–6.32safer0.82–3.450.59–3.431.40–6.87
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.455.23safe1.35–4.220.89–4.002.24–8.22safer0.96–4.610.47–4.431.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.38 0.53–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.49 0.66–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 30% 27% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.52 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.87 | 4.43 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 7.94 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.50 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.47 7.55–15.40 6.46–16.49 | 12.94 9.38–16.51 8.42–17.47 | 24.42 16.93–31.90 14.88–33.96 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.37 4.43–10.31 3.60–11.14 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 16.27 10.65–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.93–5.78 | 4.06 2.41–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.41 3.87–10.94 2.84–11.98 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.42–6.85 1.84–7.42 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 46.08 39.29–52.87 37.62–54.54 | 54.40 47.62–61.19 45.95–62.86 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 404 336–471 318–489 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.46 59.43–67.48 58.13–68.78 | 71.81 67.48–76.13 66.17–77.44 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 12.48 9.53–15.42 8.79–16.17 | 23.75 17.97–29.54 16.47–31.04 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.32 | 2.22 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.60 | 4.08 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.92 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 2.45 0.89–4.00 0.47–4.43 | 5.23 2.24–8.22 1.43–9.04 | 47% 18% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.