Championship·Regular Season - 33·
Championship·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.012.71safe0.73–2.670.16–1.870.89–4.53safer0.48–2.920.00–2.090.41–5.01
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.493.749.22safe3.62–7.352.00–5.485.62–12.83safer3.13–7.841.53–5.954.66–13.79
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1010.5126.61safe12.17–20.026.94–14.0719.12–34.09safer11.08–21.125.99–15.0317.07–36.14
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.437.8318.26safe7.49–13.375.15–10.5112.64–23.88safer6.66–14.204.41–11.2511.07–25.45
Blocked shots
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.458.00safe2.67–6.441.79–5.104.47–11.54safer2.13–6.981.30–5.593.43–12.57
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.0110.11safe3.89–8.322.01–6.015.90–14.32safer3.32–8.891.47–6.544.79–15.43
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.8441.96safe52.05–65.6335.17–48.74safer50.38–67.3033.50–50.41
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction584403987safe517–652336–469853–1121safer499–670319–487818–1156
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction76.2971.14safe72.27–80.3266.81–75.46safer70.97–81.6265.51–76.77
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9011.5721.47safe7.06–12.738.62–14.5115.68–27.25safer6.30–13.497.88–15.2614.18–28.75
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.313.03safe0.57–2.890.21–2.400.78–5.29safer0.27–3.190.00–2.690.19–5.88
Yellow cards
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.863.23safe0.32–2.420.73–2.991.05–5.41safer0.05–2.680.44–3.280.49–5.96
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.295.74safe1.02–3.891.73–4.842.75–8.73safer0.63–4.281.30–5.271.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.49 3.62–7.35 3.13–7.84 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.79 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.17–20.02 11.08–21.12 | 10.51 6.94–14.07 5.99–15.03 | 26.61 19.12–34.09 17.07–36.14 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 18.26 12.64–23.88 11.07–25.45 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 3.45 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 8.00 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.57 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.47–6.54 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 58.84 52.05–65.63 50.38–67.30 | 41.96 35.17–48.74 33.50–50.41 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 584 517–652 499–670 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 987 853–1121 818–1156 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.29 72.27–80.32 70.97–81.62 | 71.14 66.81–75.46 65.51–76.77 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 9.90 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 11.57 8.62–14.51 7.88–15.26 | 21.47 15.68–27.25 14.18–28.75 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.03 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.55 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.