Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.862.75safe0.93–2.860.01–1.720.93–4.58safer0.67–3.110.00–1.940.45–5.06
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.228.73safe3.65–7.381.47–4.965.13–12.34safer3.16–7.871.01–5.424.17–13.29
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.009.4825.49safe12.08–19.935.92–13.0518.00–32.97safer10.99–21.024.96–14.0115.95–35.02
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.786.3416.12safe6.84–12.723.66–9.0210.49–21.74safer6.01–13.552.92–9.768.93–23.31
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.792.577.35safe2.91–6.670.91–4.223.82–10.89safer2.36–7.210.42–4.712.78–11.93
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.329.70safe4.16–8.591.32–5.325.48–13.91safer3.59–9.160.79–5.864.38–15.02
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.1134.14safe59.32–72.9027.36–40.93safer57.65–74.5725.69–42.60
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction655293948safe588–723226–359814–1082safer570–741209–377779–1117
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction78.0966.65safe74.06–82.1262.33–70.98safer72.77–83.4261.02–72.29
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4112.5722.97safe7.57–13.259.62–15.5117.19–28.75safer6.81–14.008.87–16.2615.69–30.26
Offsides
18%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.784.23safe0.30–2.621.68–3.871.98–6.49safer0.00–2.921.39–4.161.39–7.07
Yellow cards
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.863.05safe0.14–2.240.73–2.990.87–5.23safer0.00–2.510.44–3.280.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.435.66safe0.79–3.661.87–4.992.66–8.65safer0.40–4.051.45–5.411.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.93–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.94 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 62% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 3.22 1.47–4.96 1.01–5.42 | 8.73 5.13–12.34 4.17–13.29 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.00 12.08–19.93 10.99–21.02 | 9.48 5.92–13.05 4.96–14.01 | 25.49 18.00–32.97 15.95–35.02 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 9.78 6.84–12.72 6.01–13.55 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 16.12 10.49–21.74 8.93–23.31 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.67 2.36–7.21 | 2.57 0.91–4.22 0.42–4.71 | 7.35 3.82–10.89 2.78–11.93 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.59 3.59–9.16 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.86 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 80% |
| Possession % | 66.11 59.32–72.90 57.65–74.57 | 34.14 27.36–40.93 25.69–42.60 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 655 588–723 570–741 | 293 226–359 209–377 | 948 814–1082 779–1117 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.09 74.06–82.12 72.77–83.42 | 66.65 62.33–70.98 61.02–72.29 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.41 7.57–13.25 6.81–14.00 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 22.97 17.19–28.75 15.69–30.26 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.78 1.68–3.87 1.39–4.16 | 4.23 1.98–6.49 1.39–7.07 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.31–5.78 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.66 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.