Championship·Regular Season - 33·
Championship·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.483.10safe0.66–2.590.62–2.331.28–4.92safer0.40–2.840.39–2.560.80–5.40
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.069.50safe2.57–6.303.32–6.815.89–13.10safer2.08–6.792.85–7.274.94–14.06
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2714.2328.50safe10.34–18.1910.66–17.7921.01–35.98safer9.25–19.289.70–18.7518.96–38.03
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.869.6418.50safe5.91–11.806.96–12.3212.88–24.12safer5.08–12.636.22–13.0611.31–25.69
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.757.95safe2.32–6.082.10–5.404.41–11.48safer1.77–6.621.61–5.903.38–12.52
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.105.0610.16safe2.88–7.313.06–7.065.94–14.37safer2.31–7.882.53–7.594.84–15.48
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.1546.82safe47.36–60.9440.03–53.60safer45.69–62.6138.36–55.28
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction467385852safe400–534319–452718–986safer381–552301–469683–1021
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.0569.17safe64.02–72.0864.84–73.49safer62.73–73.3763.53–74.80
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7610.1922.94safe9.92–15.597.24–13.1317.16–28.72safer9.16–16.356.49–13.8815.65–30.23
Offsides
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.763.28safe0.36–2.680.66–2.851.02–5.53safer0.06–2.980.38–3.140.44–6.12
Yellow cards
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.491.794.28safe1.44–3.540.66–2.922.10–6.46safer1.18–3.810.37–3.211.54–7.02
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.716.06safe1.92–4.791.15–4.273.07–9.06safer1.53–5.180.73–4.692.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.85–7.27 | 9.50 5.89–13.10 4.94–14.06 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 14.23 10.66–17.79 9.70–18.75 | 28.50 21.01–35.98 18.96–38.03 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.91–11.80 5.08–12.63 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 18.50 12.88–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.61–5.90 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 54.15 47.36–60.94 45.69–62.61 | 46.82 40.03–53.60 38.36–55.28 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 381–552 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.05 64.02–72.08 62.73–73.37 | 69.17 64.84–73.49 63.53–74.80 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 10.19 7.24–13.13 6.49–13.88 | 22.94 17.16–28.72 15.65–30.23 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.18–3.81 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.54–7.02 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 6.06 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+