Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.113.02safe0.95–2.880.25–1.961.20–4.85safer0.69–3.130.03–2.190.72–5.33
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.628.63safe3.15–6.871.87–5.365.02–12.23safer2.66–7.361.41–5.824.06–13.19
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9911.9227.91safe12.07–19.928.36–15.4820.42–35.40safer10.98–21.017.40–16.4418.37–37.45
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.248.0518.29safe7.30–13.185.37–10.7312.67–23.91safer6.47–14.014.63–11.4711.10–25.48
Blocked shots
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.638.23safe2.73–6.491.97–5.284.70–11.77safer2.18–7.031.48–5.773.66–12.80
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.434.3710.79safe4.21–8.642.37–6.376.58–15.01safer3.64–9.211.83–6.905.47–16.11
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.3138.82safe53.52–67.1032.03–45.60safer51.85–68.7730.36–47.27
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction523316840safe456–590250–383706–973safer438–609232–400670–1009
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction69.7766.99safe65.74–73.8062.67–71.31safer64.44–75.0961.36–72.62
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1912.4822.67safe7.35–13.039.54–15.4316.89–28.46safer6.60–13.788.79–16.1815.39–29.96
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.673.36safe0.53–2.850.57–2.761.11–5.61safer0.23–3.150.29–3.050.52–6.20
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.572.99safe0.37–2.470.44–2.700.82–5.17safer0.11–2.740.15–2.990.26–5.73
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.060.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.45safer0.00–0.350.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.305.91safe1.17–4.051.74–4.862.92–8.90safer0.79–4.431.32–5.282.11–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.95–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.87 2.66–7.36 | 3.62 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.82 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.19 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.99 12.07–19.92 10.98–21.01 | 11.92 8.36–15.48 7.40–16.44 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.24 7.30–13.18 6.47–14.01 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 18.29 12.67–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.63 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 8.23 4.70–11.77 3.66–12.80 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 6.43 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.79 6.58–15.01 5.47–16.11 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 60.31 53.52–67.10 51.85–68.77 | 38.82 32.03–45.60 30.36–47.27 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–609 | 316 250–383 232–400 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.77 65.74–73.80 64.44–75.09 | 66.99 62.67–71.31 61.36–72.62 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.78 | 12.48 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 22.67 16.89–28.46 15.39–29.96 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 2.99 0.82–5.17 0.26–5.73 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.71 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.