Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.413.01safe0.63–2.560.56–2.271.19–4.83safer0.38–2.820.33–2.500.71–5.31
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.409.40safe3.13–6.852.66–6.155.79–13.00safer2.64–7.342.20–6.614.84–13.96
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1413.0828.23safe11.22–19.079.52–16.6420.74–35.71safer10.13–20.168.56–17.6018.69–37.76
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.238.7418.97safe7.29–13.176.06–11.4213.34–24.59safer6.46–14.005.32–12.1611.78–26.16
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.567.69safe2.25–6.021.90–5.214.16–11.23safer1.71–6.561.41–5.703.12–12.26
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.7210.15safe3.21–7.642.72–6.725.94–14.37safer2.64–8.212.19–7.264.83–15.47
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.1350.87safe43.34–56.9244.08–57.65safer41.67–58.5942.41–59.32
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction456452909safe389–524386–519775–1042safer371–542368–536739–1078
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction68.9172.97safe64.88–72.9468.64–77.29safer63.59–74.2367.34–78.60
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1211.0621.18safe7.29–12.968.11–14.0015.40–26.96safer6.53–13.727.36–14.7513.89–28.47
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.264.15safe0.73–3.051.17–3.351.90–6.41safer0.43–3.360.88–3.641.31–7.00
Yellow cards
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.963.71safe0.71–2.810.83–3.081.53–5.89safer0.44–3.070.54–3.380.98–6.45
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.316.29safe1.54–4.421.75–4.863.29–9.28safer1.16–4.801.32–5.292.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.56 0.38–2.82 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.14 11.22–19.07 10.13–20.16 | 13.08 9.52–16.64 8.56–17.60 | 28.23 20.74–35.71 18.69–37.76 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 10.23 7.29–13.17 6.46–14.00 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.32–12.16 | 18.97 13.34–24.59 11.78–26.16 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.02 1.71–6.56 | 3.56 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.13 43.34–56.92 41.67–58.59 | 50.87 44.08–57.65 42.41–59.32 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.91 64.88–72.94 63.59–74.23 | 72.97 68.64–77.29 67.34–78.60 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 10.12 7.29–12.96 6.53–13.72 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 21.18 15.40–26.96 13.89–28.47 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 2.26 1.17–3.35 0.88–3.64 | 4.15 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.96 0.83–3.08 0.54–3.38 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.42 1.16–4.80 | 3.31 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.29 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.