Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.132.66safe0.56–2.490.28–1.990.83–4.48safer0.31–2.740.05–2.220.36–4.96
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.889.28safe3.54–7.262.14–5.625.67–12.89safer3.05–7.751.67–6.094.72–13.84
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6910.5626.26safe11.77–19.627.00–14.1218.77–33.74safer10.68–20.716.04–15.0816.72–35.79
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.327.4916.81safe6.38–12.264.81–10.1711.19–22.44safer5.55–13.094.07–10.919.62–24.00
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.727.14safe2.53–6.301.07–4.373.60–10.67safer1.99–6.840.58–4.872.57–11.71
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.059.82safe3.56–7.982.05–6.055.60–14.03safer2.98–8.561.51–6.584.50–15.14
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.1145.04safe47.32–60.9038.26–51.83safer45.65–62.5736.59–53.50
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction503402905safe435–570336–469771–1039safer417–588318–486736–1074
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction75.3173.03safe71.28–79.3468.71–77.36safer69.99–80.6367.40–78.67
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9512.1725.12safe10.12–15.799.22–15.1119.34–30.90safer9.36–16.558.47–15.8617.83–32.41
Offsides
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.874.63safe0.60–2.921.78–3.962.38–6.89safer0.30–3.221.49–4.251.79–7.48
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.564.81safe1.20–3.301.43–3.692.63–6.98safer0.93–3.571.14–3.982.07–7.54
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.646.20safe1.12–3.992.08–5.203.20–9.19safer0.73–4.381.66–5.622.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.74 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.66 0.83–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 9.28 5.67–12.89 4.72–13.84 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.69 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 10.56 7.00–14.12 6.04–15.08 | 26.26 18.77–33.74 16.72–35.79 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 7.49 4.81–10.17 4.07–10.91 | 16.81 11.19–22.44 9.62–24.00 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.58–4.87 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.51–6.58 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.11 47.32–60.90 45.65–62.57 | 45.04 38.26–51.83 36.59–53.50 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 503 435–570 417–588 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.31 71.28–79.34 69.99–80.63 | 73.03 68.71–77.36 67.40–78.67 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.12–15.79 9.36–16.55 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 25.12 19.34–30.90 17.83–32.41 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.87 1.78–3.96 1.49–4.25 | 4.63 2.38–6.89 1.79–7.48 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.57 | 2.56 1.43–3.69 1.14–3.98 | 4.81 2.63–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.64 2.08–5.20 1.66–5.62 | 6.20 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.