Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.182.93safe0.78–2.710.33–2.041.10–4.75safer0.53–2.970.10–2.260.63–5.23
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.293.729.00safe3.42–7.151.97–5.465.40–12.61safer2.93–7.641.51–5.924.44–13.56
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.129.8723.99safe10.20–18.056.30–13.4316.50–31.47safer9.10–19.145.34–14.3914.45–33.52
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.266.6816.94safe7.32–13.204.00–9.3611.32–22.56safer6.49–14.033.26–10.109.75–24.13
Blocked shots
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.376.40safe2.15–5.910.72–4.032.86–9.93safer1.60–6.450.23–4.521.83–10.97
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.729.53safe3.60–8.031.72–5.725.32–13.75safer3.03–8.611.18–6.254.21–14.85
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.4950.23safe43.70–57.2843.45–57.02safer42.03–58.9541.78–58.69
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction470472942safe403–537405–538808–1076safer385–556388–556773–1111
Pass accuracy %
48%
46%
homeawayprediction73.4073.21safe69.37–77.4368.89–77.53safer68.08–78.7267.58–78.84
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3311.1922.51safe8.49–14.168.24–14.1316.73–28.30safer7.73–14.927.49–14.8815.23–29.80
Offsides
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.306.18safe1.72–4.042.20–4.393.93–8.43safer1.42–4.351.92–4.683.34–9.02
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.023.54safe0.47–2.570.89–3.151.36–5.72safer0.20–2.830.60–3.440.81–6.28
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.375.74safe0.93–3.811.81–4.932.75–8.73safer0.55–4.191.39–5.351.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.71 0.53–2.97 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.26 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 3.72 1.97–5.46 1.51–5.92 | 9.00 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.56 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.12 10.20–18.05 9.10–19.14 | 9.87 6.30–13.43 5.34–14.39 | 23.99 16.50–31.47 14.45–33.52 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.32–13.20 6.49–14.03 | 6.68 4.00–9.36 3.26–10.10 | 16.94 11.32–22.56 9.75–24.13 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.37 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.40 2.86–9.93 1.83–10.97 | 68% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.61 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.18–6.25 | 9.53 5.32–13.75 4.21–14.85 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 50.49 43.70–57.28 42.03–58.95 | 50.23 43.45–57.02 41.78–58.69 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 470 403–537 385–556 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.40 69.37–77.43 68.08–78.72 | 73.21 68.89–77.53 67.58–78.84 | — | 48% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 11.19 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.35 | 3.30 2.20–4.39 1.92–4.68 | 6.18 3.93–8.43 3.34–9.02 | 35% 16% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.81 0.55–4.19 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+