Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.042.77safe0.77–2.710.18–1.890.95–4.60safer0.52–2.960.00–2.120.47–5.07
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.328.43safe3.26–6.981.57–5.064.83–12.04safer2.77–7.471.11–5.523.87–13.00
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3910.1026.50safe12.47–20.326.54–13.6719.01–33.99safer11.38–21.415.58–14.6316.96–36.04
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.326.9217.24safe7.38–13.264.24–9.6011.62–22.86safer6.55–14.093.50–10.3410.05–24.43
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.917.41safe2.62–6.391.25–4.563.88–10.95safer2.08–6.930.76–5.052.84–11.98
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.9710.41safe4.23–8.651.97–5.976.20–14.63safer3.65–9.231.44–6.515.09–15.73
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.2339.02safe53.44–67.0232.23–45.80safer51.77–68.6930.56–47.47
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction484306790safe417–551240–373656–924safer399–569222–390621–959
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction70.6966.68safe66.66–74.7262.35–71.00safer65.37–76.0161.05–72.31
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0513.1125.16safe9.21–14.8810.17–16.0619.37–30.94safer8.45–15.649.42–16.8017.87–32.44
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.934.22safe1.13–3.450.84–3.031.97–6.48safer0.83–3.750.55–3.311.38–7.07
Yellow cards
24%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.574.24safe0.62–2.721.44–3.702.06–6.42safer0.35–2.981.15–3.991.51–6.98
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.135.23safe0.66–3.531.58–4.692.24–8.22safer0.27–3.921.15–5.121.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.07 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.98 2.77–7.47 | 3.32 1.57–5.06 1.11–5.52 | 8.43 4.83–12.04 3.87–13.00 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.39 12.47–20.32 11.38–21.41 | 10.10 6.54–13.67 5.58–14.63 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.32 7.38–13.26 6.55–14.09 | 6.92 4.24–9.60 3.50–10.34 | 17.24 11.62–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.62–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 2.91 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.23–8.65 3.65–9.23 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.51 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.23 53.44–67.02 51.77–68.69 | 39.02 32.23–45.80 30.56–47.47 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 484 417–551 399–569 | 306 240–373 222–390 | 790 656–924 621–959 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.69 66.66–74.72 65.37–76.01 | 66.68 62.35–71.00 61.05–72.31 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 13.11 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.80 | 25.16 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 24% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.12 | 5.23 2.24–8.22 1.42–9.03 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.