Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.322.65safe0.36–2.300.46–2.170.82–4.47safer0.11–2.550.23–2.400.34–4.95
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.838.11safe2.42–6.152.09–5.574.51–11.72safer1.93–6.641.62–6.043.55–12.67
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8410.9324.78safe9.92–17.777.37–14.5017.29–32.26safer8.83–18.866.41–15.4615.24–34.32
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.718.4017.10safe5.76–11.655.72–11.0811.48–22.73safer4.93–12.484.98–11.829.91–24.29
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.147.04safe2.02–5.781.49–4.803.51–10.58safer1.48–6.331.00–5.292.47–11.62
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.359.50safe2.94–7.372.35–6.355.29–13.72safer2.37–7.941.81–6.884.18–14.82
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction52.1149.07safe45.32–58.9042.29–55.86safer43.65–60.5740.62–57.53
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction511461973safe444–579395–528839–1106safer426–597377–545803–1142
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.4369.93safe65.40–73.4665.60–74.25safer64.11–74.7564.30–75.56
Fouls
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.899.4519.34safe7.06–12.736.50–12.3913.56–25.12safer6.30–13.495.75–13.1412.05–26.63
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.303.85safe0.40–2.721.21–3.391.60–6.11safer0.09–3.020.92–3.681.01–6.70
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.543.10safe0.51–2.600.42–2.670.92–5.28safer0.24–2.870.12–2.960.36–5.83
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.250.00–0.240.00–0.49safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.945.60safe1.23–4.101.38–4.502.61–8.59safer0.84–4.490.96–4.921.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.15 1.93–6.64 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 8.11 4.51–11.72 3.55–12.67 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 10.93 7.37–14.50 6.41–15.46 | 24.78 17.29–32.26 15.24–34.32 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.82 | 17.10 11.48–22.73 9.91–24.29 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.78 1.48–6.33 | 3.14 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.62 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 52.11 45.32–58.90 43.65–60.57 | 49.07 42.29–55.86 40.62–57.53 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 511 444–579 426–597 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.43 65.40–73.46 64.11–74.75 | 69.93 65.60–74.25 64.30–75.56 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 9.89 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 9.45 6.50–12.39 5.75–13.14 | 19.34 13.56–25.12 12.05–26.63 | 49% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.54 0.42–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.10 0.92–5.28 0.36–5.83 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.80–9.41 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.