Championship·Regular Season - 41·
Championship·Regular Season - 41·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.522.71safe0.22–2.160.67–2.380.89–4.54safer0.00–2.410.44–2.610.41–5.02
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.418.09safe1.82–5.542.67–6.164.49–11.70safer1.33–6.032.21–6.623.53–12.65
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7813.8726.64safe8.85–16.7010.30–17.4319.16–34.13safer7.76–17.799.34–18.3917.11–36.18
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.748.9416.69safe4.80–10.686.26–11.6311.06–22.31safer3.97–11.515.53–12.369.50–23.88
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.424.357.77safe1.53–5.302.70–6.014.24–11.31safer0.99–5.842.21–6.503.20–12.34
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.279.84safe2.36–6.783.27–7.275.63–14.05safer1.78–7.362.74–7.814.52–15.16
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.7355.12safe38.94–52.5248.34–61.91safer37.27–54.1946.67–63.58
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction406443849safe339–473377–510716–983safer321–492359–527680–1019
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction62.3870.18safe58.35–66.4165.86–74.51safer57.06–67.7064.55–75.82
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8610.3723.23safe10.03–15.707.43–13.3217.45–29.02safer9.27–16.466.68–14.0715.95–30.52
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.262.93safe0.51–2.830.16–2.350.67–5.18safer0.21–3.130.00–2.640.08–5.77
Yellow cards
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.523.63safe1.06–3.160.39–2.651.45–5.81safer0.80–3.430.10–2.940.90–6.37
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.515.51safe1.57–4.440.95–4.062.52–8.50safer1.18–4.830.53–4.491.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 8.09 4.49–11.70 3.53–12.65 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.78 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 13.87 10.30–17.43 9.34–18.39 | 26.64 19.16–34.13 17.11–36.18 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.74 4.80–10.68 3.97–11.51 | 8.94 6.26–11.63 5.53–12.36 | 16.69 11.06–22.31 9.50–23.88 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.53–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 4.35 2.70–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.78 1.78–7.36 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 9.84 5.63–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 45.73 38.94–52.52 37.27–54.19 | 55.12 48.34–61.91 46.67–63.58 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 406 339–473 321–492 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.38 58.35–66.41 57.06–67.70 | 70.18 65.86–74.51 64.55–75.82 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.86 10.03–15.70 9.27–16.46 | 10.37 7.43–13.32 6.68–14.07 | 23.23 17.45–29.02 15.95–30.52 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.26 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 2.93 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 5.51 2.52–8.50 1.71–9.32 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.