Championship·Regular Season - 41·
Championship·Regular Season - 41·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.832.83safe0.03–1.970.98–2.691.01–4.65safer0.00–2.220.75–2.920.53–5.13
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.238.95safe1.86–5.583.49–6.985.35–12.56safer1.37–6.073.02–7.444.39–13.51
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0414.0326.07safe8.11–15.9610.47–17.5918.58–33.55safer7.02–17.059.51–18.5516.53–35.60
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.409.7018.10safe5.46–11.347.02–12.3812.47–23.72safer4.63–12.176.28–13.1210.91–25.29
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.818.03safe1.34–5.113.16–6.464.50–11.57safer0.80–5.652.66–6.953.46–12.60
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.825.7510.57safe2.61–7.043.75–7.756.36–14.79safer2.04–7.613.22–8.285.25–15.89
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.7264.16safe29.93–43.5157.38–70.95safer28.26–45.1855.71–72.62
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction317540857safe250–385473–606723–991safer232–403456–624688–1026
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction59.3875.23safe55.35–63.4170.91–79.55safer54.05–64.7069.60–80.86
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9310.6422.57safe9.09–14.767.70–13.5916.79–28.35safer8.33–15.526.95–14.3415.28–29.86
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.823.77safe0.79–3.110.73–2.911.52–6.02safer0.49–3.410.44–3.200.93–6.61
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.523.06safe0.49–2.590.39–2.650.88–5.24safer0.22–2.850.10–2.940.33–5.80
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.495.87safe1.94–4.810.93–4.052.87–8.86safer1.55–5.200.51–4.472.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 5.23 3.49–6.98 3.02–7.44 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.11–15.96 7.02–17.05 | 14.03 10.47–17.59 9.51–18.55 | 26.07 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.46–11.34 4.63–12.17 | 9.70 7.02–12.38 6.28–13.12 | 18.10 12.47–23.72 10.91–25.29 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 4.81 3.16–6.46 2.66–6.95 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.28 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 36.72 29.93–43.51 28.26–45.18 | 64.16 57.38–70.95 55.71–72.62 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 317 250–385 232–403 | 540 473–606 456–624 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.38 55.35–63.41 54.05–64.70 | 75.23 70.91–79.55 69.60–80.86 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.09–14.76 8.33–15.52 | 10.64 7.70–13.59 6.95–14.34 | 22.57 16.79–28.35 15.28–29.86 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.33–5.80 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.49 0.93–4.05 0.51–4.47 | 5.87 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.