Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.380.932.31safe0.41–2.340.08–1.790.48–4.13safer0.16–2.590.00–2.010.00–4.61
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.177.32safe2.29–6.021.43–4.913.72–10.93safer1.80–6.510.96–5.382.76–11.88
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3410.3524.69safe10.41–18.266.79–13.9117.20–32.17safer9.32–19.355.83–14.8715.15–34.22
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.346.9115.25safe5.39–11.284.23–9.599.63–20.87safer4.56–12.113.49–10.338.06–22.44
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.127.77safe2.76–6.531.47–4.774.23–11.30safer2.22–7.070.98–5.273.20–12.34
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.3010.12safe3.61–8.032.30–6.305.90–14.33safer3.03–8.611.77–6.834.80–15.44
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1040.12safe53.31–66.8933.34–46.91safer51.64–68.5631.66–48.58
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction522345867safe455–590278–411733–1001safer437–608261–429698–1036
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction71.4268.32safe67.39–75.4564.00–72.64safer66.10–76.7462.69–73.95
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0812.6422.73safe7.24–12.929.70–15.5916.94–28.51safer6.49–13.688.95–16.3415.44–30.01
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.422.98safe0.40–2.720.33–2.510.73–5.23safer0.10–3.020.04–2.800.14–5.82
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.713.05safe0.30–2.400.58–2.830.88–5.23safer0.03–2.660.29–3.130.32–5.79
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.674.93safe0.82–3.691.11–4.231.93–7.92safer0.43–4.080.69–4.651.12–8.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.59 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 2.31 0.48–4.13 0.00–4.61 | 47% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.29–6.02 1.80–6.51 | 3.17 1.43–4.91 0.96–5.38 | 7.32 3.72–10.93 2.76–11.88 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.34 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.35 | 10.35 6.79–13.91 5.83–14.87 | 24.69 17.20–32.17 15.15–34.22 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.39–11.28 4.56–12.11 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 15.25 9.63–20.87 8.06–22.44 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.98–5.27 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.61–8.03 3.03–8.61 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.83 | 10.12 5.90–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 60.10 53.31–66.89 51.64–68.56 | 40.12 33.34–46.91 31.66–48.58 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 522 455–590 437–608 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.42 67.39–75.45 66.10–76.74 | 68.32 64.00–72.64 62.69–73.95 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.24–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 22.73 16.94–28.51 15.44–30.01 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 2.98 0.73–5.23 0.14–5.82 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 1.71 0.58–2.83 0.29–3.13 | 3.05 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 2.67 1.11–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 4.93 1.93–7.92 1.12–8.73 | 34% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+