Championship·Regular Season - 41·
Championship·Regular Season - 41·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.192.87safe0.71–2.650.34–2.051.05–4.69safer0.46–2.900.11–2.280.57–5.17
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.129.23safe3.24–6.962.38–5.875.62–12.83safer2.75–7.451.92–6.334.67–13.79
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1411.7726.91safe11.22–19.078.21–15.3319.43–34.40safer10.13–20.167.25–16.2917.37–36.45
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.527.2417.76safe7.58–13.464.56–9.9212.13–23.38safer6.75–14.293.82–10.6610.57–24.95
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.397.18safe1.90–5.671.74–5.043.64–10.71safer1.36–6.211.25–5.542.61–11.75
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.4410.17safe3.52–7.952.44–6.445.96–14.39safer2.95–8.521.91–6.974.85–15.49
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.9850.57safe43.19–56.7743.79–57.36safer41.52–58.4442.11–59.03
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction445442887safe378–512376–509754–1021safer360–530358–526718–1057
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction69.6472.90safe65.61–73.6768.58–77.23safer64.32–74.9667.27–78.54
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0411.2924.33safe10.21–15.888.34–14.2318.55–30.11safer9.45–16.647.59–14.9817.04–31.62
Offsides
62%
16%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.051.854.90safe1.89–4.210.76–2.942.65–7.15safer1.59–4.510.47–3.232.06–7.74
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.294.07safe0.73–2.831.16–3.421.89–6.25safer0.46–3.090.87–3.711.33–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.366.03safe1.23–4.111.80–4.913.03–9.02safer0.85–4.491.38–5.342.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.12 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.33 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.14 11.22–19.07 10.13–20.16 | 11.77 8.21–15.33 7.25–16.29 | 26.91 19.43–34.40 17.37–36.45 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.46 6.75–14.29 | 7.24 4.56–9.92 3.82–10.66 | 17.76 12.13–23.38 10.57–24.95 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.25–5.54 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.61–11.75 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 49.98 43.19–56.77 41.52–58.44 | 50.57 43.79–57.36 42.11–59.03 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.64 65.61–73.67 64.32–74.96 | 72.90 68.58–77.23 67.27–78.54 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 11.29 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.98 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.62 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 3.05 1.89–4.21 1.59–4.51 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.90 2.65–7.15 2.06–7.74 | 62% 16% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.11 0.85–4.49 | 3.36 1.80–4.91 1.38–5.34 | 6.03 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+