Championship·Regular Season - 41·
Championship·Regular Season - 41·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.713.13safe0.45–2.390.86–2.571.31–4.96safer0.20–2.640.63–2.790.83–5.44
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.759.36safe2.74–6.473.01–6.495.75–12.96safer2.25–6.962.54–6.964.79–13.92
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0813.0328.10safe11.15–19.009.46–16.5920.61–35.59safer10.06–20.098.50–17.5518.56–37.64
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.219.5118.73safe6.27–12.156.83–12.2013.10–24.35safer5.44–12.986.10–12.9311.54–25.92
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.407.70safe2.42–6.191.74–5.054.17–11.24safer1.88–6.731.25–5.543.13–12.27
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.669.76safe2.89–7.312.66–6.665.55–13.98safer2.31–7.892.13–7.204.44–15.08
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.7248.20safe45.93–59.5141.42–54.99safer44.26–61.1839.75–56.66
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction514464977safe446–581397–530844–1111safer428–599380–548808–1147
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction76.6476.53safe72.61–80.6772.21–80.86safer71.32–81.9670.90–82.16
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1011.2622.36safe8.26–13.948.32–14.2116.58–28.15safer7.51–14.697.57–14.9615.08–29.65
Offsides
20%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.934.61safe0.52–2.841.83–4.022.35–6.86safer0.22–3.141.55–4.311.77–7.45
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.773.42safe0.60–2.700.64–2.901.24–5.60safer0.33–2.960.35–3.190.69–6.16
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.905.87safe1.54–4.411.34–4.452.88–8.86safer1.15–4.790.92–4.882.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.79 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.92 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.08 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.09 | 13.03 9.46–16.59 8.50–17.55 | 28.10 20.61–35.59 18.56–37.64 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.21 6.27–12.15 5.44–12.98 | 9.51 6.83–12.20 6.10–12.93 | 18.73 13.10–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 3.40 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.89–7.31 2.31–7.89 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.08 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 52.72 45.93–59.51 44.26–61.18 | 48.20 41.42–54.99 39.75–56.66 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 514 446–581 428–599 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 977 844–1111 808–1147 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.64 72.61–80.67 71.32–81.96 | 76.53 72.21–80.86 70.90–82.16 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 11.26 8.32–14.21 7.57–14.96 | 22.36 16.58–28.15 15.08–29.65 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.93 1.83–4.02 1.55–4.31 | 4.61 2.35–6.86 1.77–7.45 | 20% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.79 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.