Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.082.53safe0.48–2.420.22–1.930.71–4.35safer0.23–2.670.00–2.160.23–4.83
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.108.00safe3.04–6.771.36–4.844.40–11.61safer2.55–7.250.89–5.313.44–12.56
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.309.9624.26safe10.37–18.226.40–13.5216.77–31.75safer9.28–19.315.44–14.4814.72–33.80
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.277.2616.53safe6.33–12.224.58–9.9410.91–22.16safer5.50–13.053.84–10.689.34–23.72
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.666.80safe2.26–6.031.00–4.313.27–10.34safer1.72–6.570.51–4.802.23–11.37
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.2710.05safe3.57–7.992.27–6.275.84–14.26safer2.99–8.571.74–6.804.73–15.37
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7941.83safe52.00–65.5835.05–48.62safer50.33–67.2533.38–50.29
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction509353862safe442–576287–420729–996safer424–595269–437693–1032
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction74.9569.82safe70.93–78.9865.49–74.14safer69.63–80.2864.19–75.45
Fouls
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5314.1023.63safe6.70–12.3711.15–17.0417.85–29.41safer5.94–13.1310.40–17.7916.34–30.92
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.033.82safe0.63–2.950.94–3.121.57–6.08safer0.33–3.250.65–3.410.98–6.67
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.313.74safe0.38–2.481.18–3.441.56–5.92safer0.11–2.740.89–3.731.01–6.48
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.155.35safe0.76–3.631.60–4.712.35–8.34safer0.37–4.021.17–5.131.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.77 2.55–7.25 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 8.00 4.40–11.61 3.44–12.56 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.37–18.22 9.28–19.31 | 9.96 6.40–13.52 5.44–14.48 | 24.26 16.77–31.75 14.72–33.80 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.22 5.50–13.05 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 16.53 10.91–22.16 9.34–23.72 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.66 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.80 3.27–10.34 2.23–11.37 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–7.99 2.99–8.57 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.80 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 58.79 52.00–65.58 50.33–67.25 | 41.83 35.05–48.62 33.38–50.29 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–595 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.95 70.93–78.98 69.63–80.28 | 69.82 65.49–74.14 64.19–75.45 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 9.53 6.70–12.37 5.94–13.13 | 14.10 11.15–17.04 10.40–17.79 | 23.63 17.85–29.41 16.34–30.92 | 15% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 5.35 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.