Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.132.62safe0.53–2.460.27–1.980.80–4.45safer0.27–2.710.05–2.210.32–4.93
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.778.46safe2.83–6.552.03–5.514.86–12.07safer2.34–7.041.56–5.983.90–13.02
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9510.9525.90safe11.02–18.877.39–14.5118.41–33.38safer9.93–19.966.43–15.4716.36–35.43
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.147.0116.15safe6.20–12.084.33–9.6910.52–21.77safer5.37–12.913.59–10.438.96–23.34
Blocked shots
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.357.74safe2.51–6.271.69–5.004.20–11.27safer1.96–6.821.20–5.493.17–12.31
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.119.74safe3.42–7.842.10–6.115.52–13.95safer2.84–8.421.57–6.644.42–15.06
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.4149.81safe42.62–56.2043.03–56.60safer40.95–57.8741.36–58.27
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction475456931safe408–542390–522797–1065safer390–560372–540762–1101
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction72.7075.95safe68.67–76.7371.62–80.27safer67.38–78.0270.31–81.58
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3710.0521.41safe8.53–14.217.10–12.9915.63–27.20safer7.77–14.966.35–13.7414.13–28.70
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.433.09safe0.50–2.820.34–2.520.83–5.34safer0.20–3.120.05–2.810.25–5.93
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.853.63safe0.73–2.830.72–2.981.45–5.81safer0.47–3.100.43–3.270.89–6.36
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.015.42safe0.98–3.851.45–4.572.43–8.41safer0.59–4.241.03–4.991.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 46% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.02 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.02–18.87 9.93–19.96 | 10.95 7.39–14.51 6.43–15.47 | 25.90 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.14 6.20–12.08 5.37–12.91 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 16.15 10.52–21.77 8.96–23.34 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.96–6.82 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.74 4.20–11.27 3.17–12.31 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 4.11 2.10–6.11 1.57–6.64 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.41 42.62–56.20 40.95–57.87 | 49.81 43.03–56.60 41.36–58.27 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–560 | 456 390–522 372–540 | 931 797–1065 762–1101 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.70 68.67–76.73 67.38–78.02 | 75.95 71.62–80.27 70.31–81.58 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.53–14.21 7.77–14.96 | 10.05 7.10–12.99 6.35–13.74 | 21.41 15.63–27.20 14.13–28.70 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.36 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.42 2.43–8.41 1.62–9.23 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.