Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.232.99safe0.79–2.730.37–2.081.16–4.81safer0.54–2.980.14–2.310.68–5.29
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.808.95safe3.28–7.012.06–5.555.35–12.56safer2.79–7.501.60–6.014.39–13.51
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3510.4727.82safe13.42–21.276.91–14.0420.33–35.31safer12.33–22.375.95–14.9918.28–37.36
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.676.8917.56safe7.73–13.614.21–9.5711.94–23.19safer6.90–14.443.48–10.3110.37–24.75
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.052.737.78safe3.16–6.931.08–4.384.24–11.31safer2.62–7.470.59–4.883.21–12.35
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.879.75safe3.67–8.101.87–5.875.54–13.96safer3.10–8.671.33–6.404.43–15.07
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.6944.53safe47.90–61.4837.74–51.31safer46.23–63.1536.07–52.98
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction484392876safe417–551326–459742–1010safer398–569308–476706–1045
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction72.4872.38safe68.45–76.5168.05–76.70safer67.16–77.8066.74–78.01
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2211.5923.81safe9.38–15.068.65–14.5418.03–29.59safer8.63–15.817.90–15.2916.53–31.10
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.183.66safe0.32–2.651.09–3.271.41–5.92safer0.02–2.950.80–3.560.82–6.51
Yellow cards
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.123.68safe0.51–2.610.99–3.251.50–5.86safer0.25–2.880.70–3.540.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.245.48safe0.80–3.671.69–4.802.49–8.47safer0.41–4.061.26–5.221.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.80 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.01 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 17.35 13.42–21.27 12.33–22.37 | 10.47 6.91–14.04 5.95–14.99 | 27.82 20.33–35.31 18.28–37.36 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.48–10.31 | 17.56 11.94–23.19 10.37–24.75 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.16–6.93 2.62–7.47 | 2.73 1.08–4.38 0.59–4.88 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.21–12.35 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.69 47.90–61.48 46.23–63.15 | 44.53 37.74–51.31 36.07–52.98 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 484 417–551 398–569 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 876 742–1010 706–1045 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.48 68.45–76.51 67.16–77.80 | 72.38 68.05–76.70 66.74–78.01 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.38–15.06 8.63–15.81 | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 23.81 18.03–29.59 16.53–31.10 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.32–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 2.18 1.09–3.27 0.80–3.56 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.68–9.29 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.