Liga I·Regular Season - 4·
Liga I·Regular Season - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.412.63safe0.24–2.180.56–2.270.80–4.45safer0.00–2.430.33–2.500.32–4.93
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.898.92safe2.16–5.893.15–6.635.31–12.52safer1.67–6.382.68–7.104.36–13.48
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6413.6126.25safe8.71–16.5610.05–17.1818.76–33.74safer7.62–17.659.09–18.1416.71–35.79
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.208.9517.16safe5.26–11.156.27–11.6311.53–22.78safer4.43–11.975.53–12.379.97–24.35
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.847.00safe1.28–5.052.19–5.493.47–10.54safer0.74–5.591.69–5.982.43–11.58
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.899.62safe2.51–6.942.89–6.895.40–13.83safer1.94–7.512.36–7.434.30–14.94
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction44.1857.56safe37.39–50.9750.77–64.34safer35.72–52.6449.10–66.01
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction373470843safe306–440403–536709–977safer288–458386–554674–1012
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction64.6775.17safe60.64–68.7070.85–79.50safer59.35–69.9969.54–80.81
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9012.0523.95safe9.06–14.749.10–14.9918.17–29.73safer8.31–15.508.36–15.7416.66–31.24
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.543.11safe0.41–2.730.45–2.630.86–5.37safer0.11–3.040.16–2.920.27–5.96
Yellow cards
40%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.234.42safe1.15–3.251.10–3.352.24–6.60safer0.88–3.510.81–3.651.69–7.16
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.036.35safe1.88–4.751.48–4.593.36–9.34safer1.49–5.141.05–5.012.55–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.89 1.67–6.38 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.71–16.56 7.62–17.65 | 13.61 10.05–17.18 9.09–18.14 | 26.25 18.76–33.74 16.71–35.79 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.15 4.43–11.97 | 8.95 6.27–11.63 5.53–12.37 | 17.16 11.53–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 3.84 2.19–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.58 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 9.62 5.40–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.18 37.39–50.97 35.72–52.64 | 57.56 50.77–64.34 49.10–66.01 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 373 306–440 288–458 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 843 709–977 674–1012 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.67 60.64–68.70 59.35–69.99 | 75.17 70.85–79.50 69.54–80.81 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.74 8.31–15.50 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.36–15.74 | 23.95 18.17–29.73 16.66–31.24 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.04 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.51 | 2.23 1.10–3.35 0.81–3.65 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 40% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.15 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.