Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.082.88safe0.84–2.780.22–1.931.06–4.71safer0.59–3.030.00–2.160.58–5.19
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.629.46safe3.98–7.701.88–5.375.86–13.07safer3.49–8.191.41–5.834.90–14.03
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6410.1426.78safe12.72–20.576.57–13.7019.29–34.27safer11.63–21.665.61–14.6617.24–36.32
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.726.4217.15safe7.78–13.663.74–9.1111.52–22.77safer6.95–14.493.01–9.849.96–24.34
Blocked shots
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.736.92safe2.31–6.071.07–4.383.38–10.45safer1.77–6.620.58–4.872.35–11.49
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.709.72safe3.81–8.241.70–5.705.51–13.94safer3.24–8.811.17–6.234.40–15.04
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2040.31safe53.41–66.9933.53–47.10safer51.74–68.6631.86–48.77
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction532354886safe465–599288–421753–1020safer447–617270–438717–1056
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction74.1667.80safe70.13–78.1963.48–72.13safer68.84–79.4962.17–73.44
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6712.2223.89safe8.83–14.519.27–15.1618.10–29.67safer8.08–15.268.52–15.9116.60–31.17
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.373.06safe0.52–2.840.28–2.470.81–5.31safer0.22–3.150.00–2.760.22–5.90
Yellow cards
27%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.514.26safe0.70–2.801.38–3.642.08–6.44safer0.44–3.071.09–3.931.53–7.00
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.786.29safe1.07–3.942.23–5.343.30–9.28safer0.68–4.331.80–5.762.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.84 3.98–7.70 3.49–8.19 | 3.62 1.88–5.37 1.41–5.83 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.03 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.64 12.72–20.57 11.63–21.66 | 10.14 6.57–13.70 5.61–14.66 | 26.78 19.29–34.27 17.24–36.32 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.66 6.95–14.49 | 6.42 3.74–9.11 3.01–9.84 | 17.15 11.52–22.77 9.96–24.34 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.77–6.62 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 64% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.72 5.51–13.94 4.40–15.04 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.20 53.41–66.99 51.74–68.66 | 40.31 33.53–47.10 31.86–48.77 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.16 70.13–78.19 68.84–79.49 | 67.80 63.48–72.13 62.17–73.44 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.08–15.26 | 12.22 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.91 | 23.89 18.10–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.15 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.51 1.38–3.64 1.09–3.93 | 4.26 2.08–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 27% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.78 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.