Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.962.57safe0.65–2.590.10–1.810.75–4.40safer0.40–2.840.00–2.040.27–4.88
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.969.51safe3.69–7.412.22–5.705.91–13.12safer3.20–7.901.75–6.174.95–14.07
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1812.5429.73safe13.26–21.118.98–16.1022.24–37.21safer12.17–22.208.02–17.0620.19–39.26
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.797.4118.20safe7.84–13.734.73–10.0912.58–23.82safer7.01–14.564.00–10.8311.01–25.39
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.987.32safe2.46–6.221.33–4.633.79–10.86safer1.92–6.770.84–5.132.75–11.89
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.314.4810.80safe4.10–8.522.48–6.486.58–15.01safer3.52–9.101.95–7.025.48–16.12
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3946.32safe46.60–60.1839.54–53.11safer44.93–61.8537.87–54.78
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction451368819safe384–518302–435686–953safer366–536284–452650–989
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction66.1166.18safe62.08–70.1461.86–70.50safer60.79–71.4360.55–71.81
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4811.9425.42safe10.64–16.318.99–14.8819.63–31.20safer9.88–17.078.25–15.6318.13–32.70
Offsides
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.953.62safe0.52–2.840.85–3.041.37–5.88safer0.21–3.140.56–3.330.78–6.46
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.284.35safe1.02–3.121.15–3.412.17–6.53safer0.75–3.390.86–3.701.61–7.09
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.886.68safe1.37–4.242.32–5.443.69–9.68safer0.98–4.631.90–5.862.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 17.18 13.26–21.11 12.17–22.20 | 12.54 8.98–16.10 8.02–17.06 | 29.73 22.24–37.21 20.19–39.26 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.79 7.84–13.73 7.01–14.56 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 4.00–10.83 | 18.20 12.58–23.82 11.01–25.39 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.92–6.77 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.84–5.13 | 7.32 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.89 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.31 4.10–8.52 3.52–9.10 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.02 | 10.80 6.58–15.01 5.48–16.12 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.39 46.60–60.18 44.93–61.85 | 46.32 39.54–53.11 37.87–54.78 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–536 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 819 686–953 650–989 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.11 62.08–70.14 60.79–71.43 | 66.18 61.86–70.50 60.55–71.81 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 13.48 10.64–16.31 9.88–17.07 | 11.94 8.99–14.88 8.25–15.63 | 25.42 19.63–31.20 18.13–32.70 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.21–3.14 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.46 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.39 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.61–7.09 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.88 2.32–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.