Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.462.90safe0.47–2.410.61–2.321.08–4.73safer0.22–2.660.38–2.540.60–5.21
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.684.699.37safe2.81–6.542.95–6.435.76–12.97safer2.32–7.032.48–6.904.81–13.93
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4814.2428.73safe10.56–18.4110.68–17.8121.24–36.22safer9.47–19.509.72–18.7719.19–38.27
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.3917.61safe6.27–12.165.71–11.0711.99–23.23safer5.44–12.994.98–11.8110.42–24.80
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.037.54safe1.63–5.402.37–5.684.01–11.08safer1.09–5.941.88–6.172.97–12.11
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.285.1010.38safe3.07–7.503.10–7.106.17–14.59safer2.49–8.072.56–7.635.06–15.70
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.0953.27safe39.30–52.8846.49–60.06safer37.63–54.5544.82–61.73
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction391438829safe324–458372–504695–963safer306–476354–522660–998
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction62.9869.95safe58.95–67.0165.62–74.27safer57.65–68.3064.31–75.58
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3014.4025.70safe8.46–14.1311.46–17.3519.92–31.48safer7.70–14.8910.71–18.1018.41–32.99
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.493.58safe0.93–3.260.39–2.581.33–5.84safer0.63–3.560.11–2.870.74–6.42
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.154.14safe0.94–3.041.02–3.281.96–6.32safer0.67–3.300.73–3.571.40–6.88
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.326.68safe1.93–4.801.76–4.873.69–9.67safer1.54–5.191.34–5.302.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.54 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.81–6.54 2.32–7.03 | 4.69 2.95–6.43 2.48–6.90 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.48 10.56–18.41 9.47–19.50 | 14.24 10.68–17.81 9.72–18.77 | 28.73 21.24–36.22 19.19–38.27 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.27–12.16 5.44–12.99 | 8.39 5.71–11.07 4.98–11.81 | 17.61 11.99–23.23 10.42–24.80 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 4.03 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.49–8.07 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.56–7.63 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 46.09 39.30–52.88 37.63–54.55 | 53.27 46.49–60.06 44.82–61.73 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 306–476 | 438 372–504 354–522 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.98 58.95–67.01 57.65–68.30 | 69.95 65.62–74.27 64.31–75.58 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 14.40 11.46–17.35 10.71–18.10 | 25.70 19.92–31.48 18.41–32.99 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.93–3.26 0.63–3.56 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.42 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.88 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.34–5.30 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.88–10.49 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.