Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.792.172.96safe0.00–1.761.32–3.031.14–4.78safer0.00–2.011.09–3.260.66–5.26
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.856.409.25safe0.99–4.714.66–8.145.64–12.85safer0.50–5.204.19–8.614.69–13.81
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2917.1826.47safe5.36–13.2113.61–20.7418.98–33.95safer4.27–14.3012.66–21.7016.93–36.00
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4312.0717.50safe2.49–8.379.39–14.7511.87–23.12safer1.66–9.208.65–15.4910.31–24.69
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.234.766.99safe0.35–4.113.11–6.423.46–10.53safer0.00–4.662.62–6.912.42–11.56
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.996.599.58safe0.78–5.214.59–8.595.37–13.80safer0.21–5.784.06–9.124.26–14.90
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.9862.42safe32.19–45.7755.63–69.20safer30.52–47.4453.96–70.87
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction332533865safe265–399467–600731–999safer247–417449–617696–1034
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.1577.31safe59.12–67.1872.99–81.64safer57.83–68.4771.68–82.95
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7912.3924.18safe8.95–14.639.44–15.3318.39–29.96safer8.20–15.388.69–16.0816.89–31.46
Offsides
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.994.14safe0.99–3.310.90–3.091.89–6.39safer0.68–3.610.61–3.371.30–6.98
Yellow cards
50%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.513.52safe0.97–3.070.38–2.631.34–5.70safer0.70–3.330.09–2.930.79–6.26
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.186.17safe2.55–5.430.62–3.733.17–9.16safer2.17–5.810.20–4.162.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.79 0.00–1.76 0.00–2.01 | 2.17 1.32–3.03 1.09–3.26 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 19% 69% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.99–4.71 0.50–5.20 | 6.40 4.66–8.14 4.19–8.61 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 85% |
| Total shots | 9.29 5.36–13.21 4.27–14.30 | 17.18 13.61–20.74 12.66–21.70 | 26.47 18.98–33.95 16.93–36.00 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.43 2.49–8.37 1.66–9.20 | 12.07 9.39–14.75 8.65–15.49 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.23 0.35–4.11 0.00–4.66 | 4.76 3.11–6.42 2.62–6.91 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 78% |
| Corners | 2.99 0.78–5.21 0.21–5.78 | 6.59 4.59–8.59 4.06–9.12 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 84% |
| Possession % | 38.98 32.19–45.77 30.52–47.44 | 62.42 55.63–69.20 53.96–70.87 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 247–417 | 533 467–600 449–617 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.15 59.12–67.18 57.83–68.47 | 77.31 72.99–81.64 71.68–82.95 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.20–15.38 | 12.39 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 24.18 18.39–29.96 16.89–31.46 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.68–3.61 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 4.14 1.89–6.39 1.30–6.98 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.51 0.38–2.63 0.09–2.93 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 50% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.43 2.17–5.81 | 2.18 0.62–3.73 0.20–4.16 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 70% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.