Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.870.643.52safe1.91–3.840.00–1.501.69–5.34safer1.66–4.090.00–1.721.21–5.82
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.432.329.75safe5.56–9.290.58–4.076.15–13.36safer5.08–9.780.11–4.535.19–14.31
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.667.2627.92safe16.73–24.583.69–10.8220.43–35.40safer15.64–25.682.74–11.7818.38–37.45
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.463.7818.25safe11.52–17.411.10–6.4712.63–23.87safer10.69–18.240.37–7.2011.06–25.44
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.142.037.17safe3.26–7.030.37–3.683.63–10.71safer2.72–7.570.00–4.172.60–11.74
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction7.612.219.82safe5.39–9.820.21–4.215.61–14.03safer4.82–10.390.00–4.754.50–15.14
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.7933.21safe58.00–71.5826.42–39.99safer56.33–73.2524.75–41.66
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction610317927safe543–678250–383794–1061safer525–696233–401758–1097
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction77.5965.77safe73.56–81.6261.44–70.09safer72.27–82.9160.14–71.40
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1010.8021.90safe8.26–13.947.86–13.7516.12–27.69safer7.51–14.697.11–14.5014.62–29.19
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.863.61safe0.59–2.910.76–2.951.35–5.86safer0.29–3.210.47–3.240.76–6.45
Yellow cards
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.892.81safe0.00–1.970.76–3.020.63–4.99safer0.00–2.230.47–3.310.07–5.54
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.694.526.21safe0.25–3.132.96–6.073.21–9.20safer0.00–3.512.54–6.502.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.87 1.91–3.84 1.66–4.09 | 0.64 0.00–1.50 0.00–1.72 | 3.52 1.69–5.34 1.21–5.82 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.43 5.56–9.29 5.08–9.78 | 2.32 0.58–4.07 0.11–4.53 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.66 16.73–24.58 15.64–25.68 | 7.26 3.69–10.82 2.74–11.78 | 27.92 20.43–35.40 18.38–37.45 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.46 11.52–17.41 10.69–18.24 | 3.78 1.10–6.47 0.37–7.20 | 18.25 12.63–23.87 11.06–25.44 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.14 3.26–7.03 2.72–7.57 | 2.03 0.37–3.68 0.00–4.17 | 7.17 3.63–10.71 2.60–11.74 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.61 5.39–9.82 4.82–10.39 | 2.21 0.21–4.21 0.00–4.75 | 9.82 5.61–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 95% |
| Possession % | 64.79 58.00–71.58 56.33–73.25 | 33.21 26.42–39.99 24.75–41.66 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 610 543–678 525–696 | 317 250–383 233–401 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.59 73.56–81.62 72.27–82.91 | 65.77 61.44–70.09 60.14–71.40 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 10.80 7.86–13.75 7.11–14.50 | 21.90 16.12–27.69 14.62–29.19 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 0.92 0.00–1.97 0.00–2.23 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 2.81 0.63–4.99 0.07–5.54 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.69 0.25–3.13 0.00–3.51 | 4.52 2.96–6.07 2.54–6.50 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.