Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.062.80safe0.78–2.710.20–1.910.98–4.62safer0.52–2.960.00–2.140.50–5.10
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.809.80safe4.14–7.872.05–5.546.20–13.41safer3.65–8.361.59–6.005.24–14.36
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2811.6228.91safe13.36–21.218.06–15.1821.42–36.39safer12.27–22.307.10–16.1419.37–38.45
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.636.7817.40safe7.69–13.574.09–9.4611.78–23.03safer6.86–14.403.36–10.1910.21–24.59
Blocked shots
60%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.167.53safe2.48–6.251.51–4.813.99–11.06safer1.94–6.791.02–5.312.95–12.10
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.9510.45safe4.29–8.711.95–5.956.24–14.67safer3.71–9.291.42–6.495.13–15.77
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.1642.72safe50.37–63.9535.94–49.51safer48.70–65.6234.26–51.18
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction511361872safe444–578295–427738–1006safer425–596277–445703–1041
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction71.5870.51safe67.55–75.6166.19–74.84safer66.26–76.9064.88–76.15
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5610.9022.46safe8.72–14.397.96–13.8516.68–28.24safer7.96–15.157.21–14.6015.17–29.75
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.262.99safe0.56–2.890.17–2.360.74–5.24safer0.26–3.190.00–2.650.15–5.83
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.043.65safe0.56–2.660.91–3.171.47–5.83safer0.30–2.930.62–3.460.92–6.39
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.136.86safe1.29–4.162.58–5.693.86–9.85safer0.90–4.552.15–6.113.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.78–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.14–7.87 3.65–8.36 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 9.80 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.36 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.28 13.36–21.21 12.27–22.30 | 11.62 8.06–15.18 7.10–16.14 | 28.91 21.42–36.39 19.37–38.45 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.63 7.69–13.57 6.86–14.40 | 6.78 4.09–9.46 3.36–10.19 | 17.40 11.78–23.03 10.21–24.59 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 3.16 1.51–4.81 1.02–5.31 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.10 | 60% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.71 3.71–9.29 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 10.45 6.24–14.67 5.13–15.77 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.16 50.37–63.95 48.70–65.62 | 42.72 35.94–49.51 34.26–51.18 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 511 444–578 425–596 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.58 67.55–75.61 66.26–76.90 | 70.51 66.19–74.84 64.88–76.15 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 10.90 7.96–13.85 7.21–14.60 | 22.46 16.68–28.24 15.17–29.75 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.56–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 4.13 2.58–5.69 2.15–6.11 | 6.86 3.86–9.85 3.05–10.66 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.