Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.632.96safe0.37–2.300.77–2.481.14–4.78safer0.11–2.550.54–2.710.66–5.26
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.909.35safe2.59–6.313.16–6.655.75–12.96safer2.10–6.802.70–7.114.79–13.91
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5613.7627.32safe9.63–17.4810.20–17.3219.83–34.80safer8.54–18.589.24–18.2817.78–36.85
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.428.3816.80safe5.47–11.365.70–11.0611.17–22.42safer4.65–12.194.96–11.809.61–23.99
Blocked shots
43%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.737.46safe1.85–5.612.08–5.383.93–11.00safer1.31–6.161.59–5.882.89–12.03
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.165.0110.17safe2.94–7.373.01–7.015.96–14.38safer2.37–7.952.48–7.544.85–15.49
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.5254.94safe38.73–52.3148.16–61.73safer37.06–53.9846.49–63.40
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction396475871safe329–464408–541737–1005safer311–482391–559702–1041
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction66.1172.88safe62.08–70.1468.56–77.21safer60.79–71.4467.25–78.52
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2111.9323.14safe8.37–14.058.98–14.8717.36–28.92safer7.62–14.818.23–15.6215.85–30.42
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.512.99safe0.32–2.640.42–2.600.74–5.24safer0.02–2.940.13–2.890.15–5.83
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.113.75safe0.59–2.690.98–3.241.57–5.92safer0.32–2.950.69–3.531.01–6.48
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.306.57safe1.84–4.711.74–4.853.58–9.57safer1.45–5.101.31–5.282.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 31% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 4.90 3.16–6.65 2.70–7.11 | 9.35 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.58 | 13.76 10.20–17.32 9.24–18.28 | 27.32 19.83–34.80 17.78–36.85 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.42 5.47–11.36 4.65–12.19 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 16.80 11.17–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.31–6.16 | 3.73 2.08–5.38 1.59–5.88 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.03 | 43% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.95 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.52 38.73–52.31 37.06–53.98 | 54.94 48.16–61.73 46.49–63.40 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 396 329–464 311–482 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 871 737–1005 702–1041 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.11 62.08–70.14 60.79–71.44 | 72.88 68.56–77.21 67.25–78.52 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.05 7.62–14.81 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.85–30.42 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.28 | 6.57 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.