Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.172.31safe0.17–2.100.32–2.030.49–4.13safer0.00–2.360.09–2.260.01–4.61
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.888.13safe2.39–6.112.14–5.624.52–11.73safer1.90–6.601.67–6.093.57–12.69
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7710.7924.57safe9.85–17.707.23–14.3617.08–32.05safer8.76–18.796.27–15.3215.03–34.11
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.536.9215.44safe5.59–11.474.23–9.609.82–21.07safer4.76–12.303.50–10.338.25–22.63
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.226.81safe1.71–5.471.57–4.883.28–10.35safer1.16–6.021.08–5.372.24–11.38
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.249.53safe3.08–7.512.24–6.245.32–13.75safer2.51–8.081.71–6.774.21–14.85
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3951.12safe42.60–56.1844.34–57.91safer40.93–57.8542.67–59.58
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction386410795safe319–453343–476662–929safer301–471326–494626–965
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction62.4867.22safe58.45–66.5162.90–71.55safer57.15–67.8061.59–72.85
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4612.2724.73safe9.63–15.309.33–15.2118.95–30.52safer8.87–16.068.58–15.9617.45–32.02
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.292.87safe0.41–2.730.20–2.390.61–5.12safer0.11–3.030.00–2.680.02–5.71
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.214.20safe0.94–3.041.08–3.342.03–6.38safer0.68–3.310.79–3.631.47–6.94
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.305.91safe1.18–4.051.74–4.852.92–8.90safer0.79–4.441.32–5.282.11–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.31 0.49–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.25 2.39–6.11 1.90–6.60 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.13 4.52–11.73 3.57–12.69 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.77 9.85–17.70 8.76–18.79 | 10.79 7.23–14.36 6.27–15.32 | 24.57 17.08–32.05 15.03–34.11 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.53 5.59–11.47 4.76–12.30 | 6.92 4.23–9.60 3.50–10.33 | 15.44 9.82–21.07 8.25–22.63 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.16–6.02 | 3.22 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.77 | 9.53 5.32–13.75 4.21–14.85 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 49.39 42.60–56.18 40.93–57.85 | 51.12 44.34–57.91 42.67–59.58 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 301–471 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 795 662–929 626–965 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.48 58.45–66.51 57.15–67.80 | 67.22 62.90–71.55 61.59–72.85 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.63–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.58–15.96 | 24.73 18.95–30.52 17.45–32.02 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.87 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.20 2.03–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.71 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.