Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.032.42safe0.42–2.350.18–1.880.59–4.24safer0.17–2.610.00–2.110.11–4.72
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.858.30safe2.59–6.312.11–5.594.69–11.90safer2.10–6.801.64–6.063.74–12.86
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2411.9425.18safe9.31–17.168.38–15.5117.69–32.67safer8.22–18.257.42–16.4615.64–34.72
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.437.1615.59safe5.49–11.374.48–9.849.96–21.21safer4.66–12.203.74–10.588.40–22.78
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.906.45safe1.66–5.431.25–4.562.91–9.98safer1.12–5.970.76–5.051.88–11.02
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.299.43safe2.93–7.362.29–6.295.22–13.65safer2.36–7.941.75–6.824.11–14.76
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.5545.28safe46.76–60.3438.49–52.06safer45.09–62.0136.82–53.73
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction450346796safe383–517279–412662–929safer365–535262–430626–965
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction65.2766.36safe61.25–69.3062.03–70.68safer59.95–70.6060.72–71.99
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.8324.38safe8.71–14.399.88–15.7718.60–30.16safer7.96–15.149.14–16.5217.09–31.67
Offsides
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.512.88safe0.21–2.530.41–2.600.62–5.13safer0.00–2.830.12–2.890.03–5.72
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.254.03safe0.73–2.831.12–3.381.85–6.20safer0.46–3.090.83–3.671.29–6.76
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.975.53safe1.12–4.001.41–4.532.54–8.52safer0.74–4.380.99–4.951.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.24 9.31–17.16 8.22–18.25 | 11.94 8.38–15.51 7.42–16.46 | 25.18 17.69–32.67 15.64–34.72 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.37 4.66–12.20 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 15.59 9.96–21.21 8.40–22.78 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.66–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 2.90 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 6.45 2.91–9.98 1.88–11.02 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.94 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 9.43 5.22–13.65 4.11–14.76 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.55 46.76–60.34 45.09–62.01 | 45.28 38.49–52.06 36.82–53.73 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 365–535 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 796 662–929 626–965 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.27 61.25–69.30 59.95–70.60 | 66.36 62.03–70.68 60.72–71.99 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.39 7.96–15.14 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.14–16.52 | 24.38 18.60–30.16 17.09–31.67 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 2.88 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.03 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 2.97 1.41–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.73–9.34 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.