Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.212.70safe0.53–2.470.35–2.060.88–4.53safer0.28–2.720.12–2.290.40–5.01
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.399.18safe2.93–6.652.65–6.135.57–12.78safer2.44–7.142.18–6.604.62–13.74
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3912.5726.96safe10.47–18.329.01–16.1319.47–34.45safer9.38–19.418.05–17.0917.42–36.50
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.267.8317.08safe6.31–12.205.15–10.5111.46–22.71safer5.48–13.034.41–11.259.89–24.27
Blocked shots
48%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.226.82safe1.72–5.491.56–4.873.29–10.36safer1.18–6.031.07–5.362.25–11.39
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.389.89safe3.29–7.722.38–6.385.67–14.10safer2.72–8.291.85–6.914.57–15.21
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.8143.45safe51.02–64.6036.67–50.24safer49.35–66.2735.00–51.91
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction490351842safe423–558285–418708–975safer405–576267–435672–1011
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction74.7670.21safe70.73–78.7965.89–74.53safer69.44–80.0964.58–75.84
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4413.4825.92safe9.60–15.2810.53–16.4220.14–31.70safer8.84–16.039.79–17.1718.63–33.20
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.523.27safe0.59–2.910.43–2.611.02–5.52safer0.29–3.210.14–2.900.43–6.11
Yellow cards
27%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.594.40safe0.76–2.861.46–3.712.22–6.58safer0.50–3.131.17–4.011.66–7.13
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.316.18safe1.44–4.311.75–4.863.19–9.17safer1.05–4.691.33–5.292.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.79 2.93–6.65 2.44–7.14 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 9.18 5.57–12.78 4.62–13.74 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.39 10.47–18.32 9.38–19.41 | 12.57 9.01–16.13 8.05–17.09 | 26.96 19.47–34.45 17.42–36.50 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.31–12.20 5.48–13.03 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.22 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 6.82 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 48% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.85–6.91 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 57.81 51.02–64.60 49.35–66.27 | 43.45 36.67–50.24 35.00–51.91 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 490 423–558 405–576 | 351 285–418 267–435 | 842 708–975 672–1011 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.76 70.73–78.79 69.44–80.09 | 70.21 65.89–74.53 64.58–75.84 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.84–16.03 | 13.48 10.53–16.42 9.79–17.17 | 25.92 20.14–31.70 18.63–33.20 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.59 1.46–3.71 1.17–4.01 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.66–7.13 | 27% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.31 1.75–4.86 1.33–5.29 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+