Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.152.66safe0.54–2.480.30–2.010.84–4.48safer0.29–2.730.07–2.230.36–4.96
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.009.05safe3.19–6.922.25–5.745.44–12.65safer2.70–7.411.79–6.204.49–13.61
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3811.7127.09safe11.46–19.318.14–15.2719.60–34.58safer10.37–20.407.19–16.2317.55–36.63
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.097.6317.71safe7.14–13.034.95–10.3112.09–23.33safer6.31–13.864.21–11.0410.52–24.90
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.327.24safe2.04–5.801.67–4.983.71–10.78safer1.49–6.351.18–5.472.67–11.81
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.289.89safe3.40–7.822.28–6.285.68–14.11safer2.82–8.401.75–6.824.57–15.21
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.7054.60safe38.91–52.4947.82–61.39safer37.24–54.1646.14–63.06
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction367445812safe300–435378–511679–946safer282–453361–529643–982
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction68.2875.02safe64.25–72.3170.70–79.34safer62.96–73.6069.39–80.65
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5813.3526.94safe10.74–16.4210.41–16.3021.15–32.72safer9.99–17.189.66–17.0519.65–34.22
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.653.37safe0.55–2.880.56–2.751.12–5.62safer0.25–3.180.27–3.040.53–6.21
Yellow cards
36%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.184.18safe0.95–3.051.06–3.312.00–6.36safer0.68–3.310.76–3.601.45–6.92
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.355.97safe1.18–4.061.79–4.902.98–8.96safer0.80–4.441.37–5.332.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.23 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 46% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.38 11.46–19.31 10.37–20.40 | 11.71 8.14–15.27 7.19–16.23 | 27.09 19.60–34.58 17.55–36.63 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.31–13.86 | 7.63 4.95–10.31 4.21–11.04 | 17.71 12.09–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.49–6.35 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.24 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.81 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.82 2.82–8.40 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.82 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 45.70 38.91–52.49 37.24–54.16 | 54.60 47.82–61.39 46.14–63.06 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 367 300–435 282–453 | 445 378–511 361–529 | 812 679–946 643–982 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.28 64.25–72.31 62.96–73.60 | 75.02 70.70–79.34 69.39–80.65 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.58 10.74–16.42 9.99–17.18 | 13.35 10.41–16.30 9.66–17.05 | 26.94 21.15–32.72 19.65–34.22 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.55–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.18 2.00–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.