Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.112.82safe0.75–2.680.25–1.961.00–4.64safer0.49–2.930.02–2.190.52–5.12
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.4310.01safe3.71–7.442.69–6.176.40–13.61safer3.22–7.932.22–6.645.45–14.57
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6212.3027.91safe11.69–19.548.73–15.8620.42–35.40safer10.60–20.637.77–16.8218.37–37.45
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.457.8218.26safe7.50–13.395.14–10.5012.64–23.89safer6.67–14.224.40–11.2311.07–25.45
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.527.70safe2.29–6.061.87–5.184.16–11.23safer1.75–6.601.38–5.673.13–12.27
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.4010.45safe3.84–8.262.40–6.406.24–14.66safer3.26–8.841.86–6.935.13–15.77
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.6051.22safe42.81–56.3944.44–58.01safer41.14–58.0642.76–59.68
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction405410815safe338–472344–477681–949safer319–490326–494646–984
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction69.9373.66safe65.90–73.9669.34–77.99safer64.61–75.2568.03–79.30
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9412.5625.50safe10.10–15.789.61–15.5019.72–31.28safer9.35–16.538.86–16.2518.21–32.78
Offsides
40%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.312.74safe0.27–2.590.22–2.400.49–5.00safer0.00–2.890.00–2.690.00–5.58
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.384.40safe0.97–3.071.26–3.512.22–6.58safer0.70–3.330.96–3.801.67–7.14
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.576.67safe1.67–4.542.01–5.133.68–9.67safer1.28–4.931.59–5.552.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 52% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 10.01 6.40–13.61 5.45–14.57 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.62 11.69–19.54 10.60–20.63 | 12.30 8.73–15.86 7.77–16.82 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.45 7.50–13.39 6.67–14.22 | 7.82 5.14–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 18.26 12.64–23.89 11.07–25.45 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.52 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.86–6.93 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.60 42.81–56.39 41.14–58.06 | 51.22 44.44–58.01 42.76–59.68 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 405 338–472 319–490 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 815 681–949 646–984 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.93 65.90–73.96 64.61–75.25 | 73.66 69.34–77.99 68.03–79.30 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.94 10.10–15.78 9.35–16.53 | 12.56 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 25.50 19.72–31.28 18.21–32.78 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.74 0.49–5.00 0.00–5.58 | 40% 26% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.38 1.26–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 3.57 2.01–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 6.67 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.