Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.422.93safe0.54–2.470.57–2.281.11–4.75safer0.29–2.730.34–2.510.63–5.23
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.8110.03safe3.37–7.093.06–6.556.43–13.64safer2.88–7.582.60–7.015.47–14.59
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7113.9129.62safe11.79–19.6410.35–17.4722.14–37.11safer10.70–20.739.39–18.4320.09–39.16
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.728.9418.66safe6.78–12.666.26–11.6213.03–24.28safer5.95–13.495.52–12.3511.47–25.85
Blocked shots
50%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.507.48safe2.10–5.861.85–5.153.95–11.02safer1.56–6.411.36–5.652.91–12.05
Corners
56%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.8510.65safe3.59–8.022.85–6.856.44–14.87safer3.02–8.592.31–7.385.33–15.97
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.2047.13safe46.41–59.9940.35–53.92safer44.74–61.6638.67–55.59
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction444390834safe377–511324–456700–968safer359–529306–474665–1003
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction72.8172.02safe68.78–76.8467.70–76.34safer67.49–78.1366.39–77.65
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.9424.67safe8.89–14.5710.00–15.8918.89–30.46safer8.14–15.339.25–16.6417.39–31.96
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.302.99safe0.53–2.850.20–2.390.74–5.24safer0.23–3.160.00–2.680.15–5.83
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.224.11safe0.84–2.931.09–3.351.93–6.28safer0.57–3.200.80–3.641.37–6.84
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.476.53safe1.62–4.491.92–5.033.54–9.53safer1.24–4.881.49–5.462.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.47 0.29–2.73 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 4.81 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.01 | 10.03 6.43–13.64 5.47–14.59 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.71 11.79–19.64 10.70–20.73 | 13.91 10.35–17.47 9.39–18.43 | 29.62 22.14–37.11 20.09–39.16 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.72 6.78–12.66 5.95–13.49 | 8.94 6.26–11.62 5.52–12.35 | 18.66 13.03–24.28 11.47–25.85 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 50% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.31–7.38 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.97 | 56% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.20 46.41–59.99 44.74–61.66 | 47.13 40.35–53.92 38.67–55.59 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 390 324–456 306–474 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.81 68.78–76.84 67.49–78.13 | 72.02 67.70–76.34 66.39–77.65 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 24.67 18.89–30.46 17.39–31.96 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.84–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.24–4.88 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.46 | 6.53 3.54–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.