Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.933.04safe0.14–2.081.07–2.781.22–4.86safer0.00–2.330.85–3.010.74–5.34
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.955.779.72safe2.09–5.814.03–7.516.12–13.33safer1.60–6.303.56–7.985.16–14.28
Total shots
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9915.4627.44safe8.06–15.9111.89–19.0219.96–34.93safer6.97–17.0110.93–19.9817.91–36.98
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.119.8816.99safe4.16–10.057.20–12.5611.37–22.61safer3.34–10.886.46–13.309.80–24.18
Blocked shots
33%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.636.65safe1.14–4.911.97–5.283.11–10.18safer0.60–5.451.48–5.772.08–11.22
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.549.96safe2.21–6.633.54–7.545.74–14.17safer1.63–7.213.00–8.074.64–15.28
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.5952.09safe41.80–55.3845.30–58.87safer40.13–57.0543.63–60.54
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction446458904safe378–513392–525770–1038safer360–531374–542735–1073
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction71.5175.76safe67.48–75.5471.43–80.08safer66.19–76.8370.13–81.39
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6813.1125.78safe9.84–15.5110.16–16.0520.00–31.57safer9.08–16.279.42–16.8018.50–33.07
Offsides
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.433.43safe0.84–3.160.34–2.521.18–5.69safer0.54–3.460.05–2.810.59–6.28
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.164.30safe1.09–3.191.03–3.292.12–6.47safer0.82–3.450.74–3.581.56–7.03
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.796.43safe2.21–5.081.23–4.343.44–9.42safer1.82–5.470.81–4.772.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.85–3.01 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 5.77 4.03–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.01 | 15.46 11.89–19.02 10.93–19.98 | 27.44 19.96–34.93 17.91–36.98 | 22% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.11 4.16–10.05 3.34–10.88 | 9.88 7.20–12.56 6.46–13.30 | 16.99 11.37–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 3.63 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 33% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.21–6.63 1.63–7.21 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.00–8.07 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 48.59 41.80–55.38 40.13–57.05 | 52.09 45.30–58.87 43.63–60.54 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 446 378–513 360–531 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.51 67.48–75.54 66.19–76.83 | 75.76 71.43–80.08 70.13–81.39 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.68 9.84–15.51 9.08–16.27 | 13.11 10.16–16.05 9.42–16.80 | 25.78 20.00–31.57 18.50–33.07 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.30 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.21–5.08 1.82–5.47 | 2.79 1.23–4.34 0.81–4.77 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 55% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.