Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.013.13safe1.15–3.090.16–1.871.31–4.96safer0.90–3.340.00–2.090.83–5.44
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.513.8110.32safe4.65–8.372.07–5.566.72–13.93safer4.16–8.861.60–6.025.76–14.88
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7911.2529.05safe13.87–21.727.69–14.8121.56–36.53safer12.78–22.816.73–15.7719.51–38.58
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.486.6118.09safe8.54–14.423.93–9.2912.47–23.71safer7.71–15.253.19–10.0310.90–25.28
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.566.83safe2.40–6.160.90–4.213.30–10.37safer1.85–6.700.41–4.702.26–11.40
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.639.85safe4.00–8.431.63–5.635.63–14.06safer3.43–9.001.10–6.174.53–15.17
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.4445.69safe47.65–61.2338.90–52.47safer45.98–62.9037.23–54.14
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction491414904safe423–558347–480771–1038safer405–576330–498735–1074
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction75.6173.59safe71.58–79.6469.27–77.91safer70.29–80.9367.96–79.22
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5812.0324.60safe9.74–15.429.08–14.9718.82–30.39safer8.99–16.178.33–15.7217.32–31.89
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.793.33safe0.38–2.700.69–2.881.08–5.58safer0.08–3.000.41–3.170.49–6.17
Yellow cards
30%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.233.96safe0.68–2.781.10–3.351.78–6.13safer0.42–3.050.81–3.651.22–6.69
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.196.72safe1.09–3.972.64–5.753.73–9.72safer0.71–4.352.21–6.172.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.51 4.65–8.37 4.16–8.86 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.60–6.02 | 10.32 6.72–13.93 5.76–14.88 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.79 13.87–21.72 12.78–22.81 | 11.25 7.69–14.81 6.73–15.77 | 29.05 21.56–36.53 19.51–38.58 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.48 8.54–14.42 7.71–15.25 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 18.09 12.47–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.17 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.44 47.65–61.23 45.98–62.90 | 45.69 38.90–52.47 37.23–54.14 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 491 423–558 405–576 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.61 71.58–79.64 70.29–80.93 | 73.59 69.27–77.91 67.96–79.22 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 12.58 9.74–15.42 8.99–16.17 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 24.60 18.82–30.39 17.32–31.89 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.23 1.10–3.35 0.81–3.65 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 30% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.97 0.71–4.35 | 4.19 2.64–5.75 2.21–6.17 | 6.72 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+