Liga I·Regular Season - 11·
Liga I·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.053.03safe1.01–2.940.20–1.911.20–4.85safer0.75–3.190.00–2.130.72–5.33
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.779.89safe4.25–7.972.03–5.526.28–13.49safer3.76–8.461.57–5.985.32–14.45
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction18.0111.5029.51safe14.08–21.937.93–15.0622.02–36.99safer12.99–23.026.97–16.0219.97–39.04
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.426.9618.37safe8.47–14.364.28–9.6412.75–24.00safer7.64–15.193.54–10.3811.18–25.56
Blocked shots
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.618.41safe2.92–6.681.95–5.264.87–11.94safer2.38–7.231.46–5.753.84–12.98
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.9710.10safe3.92–8.351.97–5.975.89–14.32safer3.35–8.921.44–6.504.78–15.42
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.2045.04safe48.41–61.9938.26–51.83safer46.74–63.6636.59–53.50
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction495394889safe428–562327–460755–1022safer410–580310–478719–1058
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction74.2172.30safe70.18–78.2467.98–76.63safer68.88–79.5366.67–77.94
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9011.9822.88safe8.06–13.739.04–14.9317.10–28.66safer7.30–14.498.29–15.6815.59–30.17
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.392.89safe0.34–2.660.30–2.480.64–5.14safer0.04–2.960.01–2.770.05–5.73
Yellow cards
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.294.28safe0.94–3.041.16–3.422.10–6.46safer0.67–3.310.87–3.711.54–7.02
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.056.69safe1.21–4.082.49–5.603.70–9.69safer0.82–4.472.07–6.032.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.01–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.13 | 3.03 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 59% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.25–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.32–14.45 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.01 14.08–21.93 12.99–23.02 | 11.50 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.02 | 29.51 22.02–36.99 19.97–39.04 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.42 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.19 | 6.96 4.28–9.64 3.54–10.38 | 18.37 12.75–24.00 11.18–25.56 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.38–7.23 | 3.61 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 8.41 4.87–11.94 3.84–12.98 | 59% 28% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.50 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.42 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.20 48.41–61.99 46.74–63.66 | 45.04 38.26–51.83 36.59–53.50 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–580 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.21 70.18–78.24 68.88–79.53 | 72.30 67.98–76.63 66.67–77.94 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.17 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.89 0.64–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.31 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.54–7.02 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 4.05 2.49–5.60 2.07–6.03 | 6.69 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.