Liga I·Regular Season - 26·
Liga I·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.683.00safe0.35–2.290.82–2.531.17–4.82safer0.10–2.540.60–2.760.69–5.30
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.389.79safe2.55–6.273.64–7.126.19–13.40safer2.06–6.763.17–7.595.23–14.35
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0913.9728.05safe10.16–18.0110.40–17.5320.56–35.54safer9.07–19.109.44–18.4918.51–37.59
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.729.4218.14safe5.78–11.666.74–12.1012.52–23.76safer4.95–12.496.00–12.8410.95–25.33
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.147.93safe1.91–5.672.49–5.794.39–11.46safer1.36–6.211.99–6.283.36–12.50
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.9310.08safe2.94–7.372.93–6.935.87–14.29safer2.37–7.942.40–7.464.76–15.40
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.5952.88safe40.80–54.3846.09–59.66safer39.13–56.0544.42–61.33
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction433468901safe365–500402–535767–1035safer347–518384–552732–1070
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction70.1875.97safe66.15–74.2171.65–80.30safer64.85–75.5070.34–81.61
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2510.9522.20safe8.41–14.098.01–13.9016.42–27.98safer7.66–14.847.26–14.6514.91–29.49
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.383.04safe0.50–2.820.29–2.480.79–5.29safer0.20–3.120.00–2.760.20–5.88
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.083.98safe0.85–2.950.95–3.211.81–6.16safer0.58–3.220.66–3.501.25–6.72
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.006.33safe1.90–4.771.44–4.553.34–9.32safer1.51–5.161.02–4.982.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.60–2.76 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 13.97 10.40–17.53 9.44–18.49 | 28.05 20.56–35.54 18.51–37.59 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.72 5.78–11.66 4.95–12.49 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.00–12.84 | 18.14 12.52–23.76 10.95–25.33 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.14 2.49–5.79 1.99–6.28 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.08 5.87–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.59 40.80–54.38 39.13–56.05 | 52.88 46.09–59.66 44.42–61.33 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 433 365–500 347–518 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.18 66.15–74.21 64.85–75.50 | 75.97 71.65–80.30 70.34–81.61 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.66–14.84 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.65 | 22.20 16.42–27.98 14.91–29.49 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.76 | 3.04 0.79–5.29 0.20–5.88 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.22 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.98 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.02–4.98 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.