Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.212.74safe0.56–2.500.36–2.070.92–4.56safer0.31–2.750.13–2.290.44–5.04
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.199.62safe3.57–7.292.45–5.936.01–13.22safer3.08–7.781.98–6.405.06–14.18
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8011.3427.13safe11.87–19.727.78–14.9019.65–34.62safer10.78–20.816.82–15.8617.60–36.67
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.897.0716.96safe6.95–12.834.39–9.7511.34–22.58safer6.12–13.663.65–10.499.77–24.15
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.806.77safe2.09–5.861.14–4.453.24–10.31safer1.55–6.400.65–4.942.20–11.34
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.309.89safe3.38–7.812.30–6.305.68–14.11safer2.81–8.381.77–6.834.57–15.21
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction50.1250.08safe43.33–56.9143.30–56.87safer41.66–58.5841.63–58.54
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction429440869safe362–497373–506735–1003safer344–515356–524700–1038
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction74.4776.67safe70.44–78.5072.34–80.99safer69.15–79.7971.03–82.30
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6613.1325.79safe9.82–15.5010.19–16.0820.01–31.57safer9.07–16.259.44–16.8318.50–33.08
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.813.46safe0.50–2.820.71–2.901.21–5.72safer0.19–3.120.43–3.190.62–6.30
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.484.57safe1.04–3.141.35–3.612.39–6.75safer0.77–3.411.06–3.901.83–7.30
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.150.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.470.00–0.90
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.656.34safe1.26–4.132.09–5.203.35–9.33safer0.87–4.521.67–5.632.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.57–7.29 3.08–7.78 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.80 11.87–19.72 10.78–20.81 | 11.34 7.78–14.90 6.82–15.86 | 27.13 19.65–34.62 17.60–36.67 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.95–12.83 6.12–13.66 | 7.07 4.39–9.75 3.65–10.49 | 16.96 11.34–22.58 9.77–24.15 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.83 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 50.12 43.33–56.91 41.66–58.58 | 50.08 43.30–56.87 41.63–58.54 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 429 362–497 344–515 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.47 70.44–78.50 69.15–79.79 | 76.67 72.34–80.99 71.03–82.30 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.50 9.07–16.25 | 13.13 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 25.79 20.01–31.57 18.50–33.08 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.30 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.41 | 2.48 1.35–3.61 1.06–3.90 | 4.57 2.39–6.75 1.83–7.30 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.65 2.09–5.20 1.67–5.63 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.54–10.15 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.